**Current forecast consensus from models and observations points to a maximum of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes.** Southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies, combined with moderate humidity and light winds, is limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This setup matches climatological norms for early September near Schiphol, where the long-term average high sits near 19.7°C. Short-term model runs show limited spread, with peaks expected in the afternoon before any evening drizzle develops. Traders appear to be pricing in this stable, near-normal pattern rather than outlier scenarios, as no strong high-pressure ridge or incoming front is altering the trajectory. Updated observations through the morning support the 19°C lead, with any revision likely hinging on the precise timing of cloud breaks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 10?
19°C 55%
20°C 35%
18°C 7%
21°C 4%
$16,065 Vol.
$16,065 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
7%
19°C
55%
20°C
35%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 55%
20°C 35%
18°C 7%
21°C 4%
$16,065 Vol.
$16,065 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
7%
19°C
55%
20°C
35%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from models and observations points to a maximum of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes.** Southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies, combined with moderate humidity and light winds, is limiting daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. This setup matches climatological norms for early September near Schiphol, where the long-term average high sits near 19.7°C. Short-term model runs show limited spread, with peaks expected in the afternoon before any evening drizzle develops. Traders appear to be pricing in this stable, near-normal pattern rather than outlier scenarios, as no strong high-pressure ridge or incoming front is altering the trajectory. Updated observations through the morning support the 19°C lead, with any revision likely hinging on the precise timing of cloud breaks.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan