Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 6th congressional district toward a Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or likely Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Richard Pan advanced from the June primary to face independent Kevin Kiley, who previously represented an adjacent district as a Republican before switching affiliation. Recent polling shows Pan holding a modest lead in a contest shaped by the district's partisan composition and voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at 94.9% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes could shift with unusually high independent turnout, late national political developments, or unexpected changes in candidate positioning before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCA-06 House Election Winner
CA-06 House Election Winner
$49,908 Vol.
$49,908 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$49,908 Vol.
$49,908 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$25,535 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$24,373 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 6th congressional district toward a Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or likely Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Richard Pan advanced from the June primary to face independent Kevin Kiley, who previously represented an adjacent district as a Republican before switching affiliation. Recent polling shows Pan holding a modest lead in a contest shaped by the district's partisan composition and voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at 94.9% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes could shift with unusually high independent turnout, late national political developments, or unexpected changes in candidate positioning before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$49,908Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 6th congressional district toward a Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or likely Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Richard Pan advanced from the June primary to face independent Kevin Kiley, who previously represented an adjacent district as a Republican before switching affiliation. Recent polling shows Pan holding a modest lead in a contest shaped by the district's partisan composition and voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at 94.9% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes could shift with unusually high independent turnout, late national political developments, or unexpected changes in candidate positioning before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,908Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 6th congressional district toward a Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or likely Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Democrat Richard Pan advanced from the June primary to face independent Kevin Kiley, who previously represented an adjacent district as a Republican before switching affiliation. Recent polling shows Pan holding a modest lead in a contest shaped by the district's partisan composition and voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at 94.9% for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes could shift with unusually high independent turnout, late national political developments, or unexpected changes in candidate positioning before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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