Recent surges in oil prices above $100 per barrel amid Middle East tensions have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.83-4.84% as of September 9, 2026, its highest level since late 2023, as markets price in renewed inflation risks and roughly 60% odds of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September FOMC meeting. Resilient U.S. economic data, including stronger-than-expected payrolls, alongside elevated fiscal deficits exceeding 6% of GDP and heavy Treasury and corporate issuance tied to AI infrastructure, have lifted term premiums and long-end yields. Strong auction demand for recent 10-year notes provided some offset, but traders are watching producer price data, the upcoming FOMC decision, and any de-escalation in energy markets for shifts in the implied rate path through 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2027 से पहले 10 साल की ट्रेजरी उपज कितनी ऊंची होगी?
2027 से पहले 10 साल की ट्रेजरी उपज कितनी ऊंची होगी?
$336,426 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
5.0%
71%
5.2%
26%
5.5%
13%
5.7%
7%
6.0%
2%
$336,426 वॉल्यूम
5.0%
$95,257 वॉल्यूम
71%
5.2%
$35,203 वॉल्यूम
26%
5.5%
$11,589 वॉल्यूम
13%
5.7%
$4,686 वॉल्यूम
7%
6.0%
$7,547 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent surges in oil prices above $100 per barrel amid Middle East tensions have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.83-4.84% as of September 9, 2026, its highest level since late 2023, as markets price in renewed inflation risks and roughly 60% odds of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September FOMC meeting. Resilient U.S. economic data, including stronger-than-expected payrolls, alongside elevated fiscal deficits exceeding 6% of GDP and heavy Treasury and corporate issuance tied to AI infrastructure, have lifted term premiums and long-end yields. Strong auction demand for recent 10-year notes provided some offset, but traders are watching producer price data, the upcoming FOMC decision, and any de-escalation in energy markets for shifts in the implied rate path through 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$336,426समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent surges in oil prices above $100 per barrel amid Middle East tensions have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.83-4.84% as of September 9, 2026, its highest level since late 2023, as markets price in renewed inflation risks and roughly 60% odds of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September FOMC meeting. Resilient U.S. economic data, including stronger-than-expected payrolls, alongside elevated fiscal deficits exceeding 6% of GDP and heavy Treasury and corporate issuance tied to AI infrastructure, have lifted term premiums and long-end yields. Strong auction demand for recent 10-year notes provided some offset, but traders are watching producer price data, the upcoming FOMC decision, and any de-escalation in energy markets for shifts in the implied rate path through 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
वॉल्यूम
$336,426समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent surges in oil prices above $100 per barrel amid Middle East tensions have driven the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.83-4.84% as of September 9, 2026, its highest level since late 2023, as markets price in renewed inflation risks and roughly 60% odds of a 25-basis-point Fed funds rate hike at the September FOMC meeting. Resilient U.S. economic data, including stronger-than-expected payrolls, alongside elevated fiscal deficits exceeding 6% of GDP and heavy Treasury and corporate issuance tied to AI infrastructure, have lifted term premiums and long-end yields. Strong auction demand for recent 10-year notes provided some offset, but traders are watching producer price data, the upcoming FOMC decision, and any de-escalation in energy markets for shifts in the implied rate path through 2027.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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