Recent U.S. labor market strength, including 162,000 August payroll gains and a 4.1% unemployment rate, combined with elevated inflation—PCE at 3.6–3.7% year-over-year and core measures above target—has shifted trader sentiment toward a higher probability of rate hikes at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. Market-implied odds reflect this tension, with Pause–Pause–Pause leading at 29% while various hike-inclusive paths collectively command over 60% probability. Persistent supply-side pressures, resilient growth, and evolving Fed communications under new leadership underpin the wide dispersion across sequences for the September, October, and December decisions. The upcoming September dot plot and incoming data on inflation and employment remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाविराम–विराम–विराम 29%
बढ़ोतरी–ठहराव–ठहराव 15%
बढ़ोतरी–बढ़ोतरी–विराम 13%
रुकना–बढ़ाना–बढ़ाना 11.9%
$14,926 वॉल्यूम
$14,926 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
वृद्धि–विराम–वृद्धि
11%
बढ़ोतरी–ठहराव–ठहराव
15%
तीन बार वृद्धि (हाइक–हाइक–हाइक)
6%
बढ़ोतरी–बढ़ोतरी–विराम
13%
ठहराव–ठहराव–बढ़ोतरी
7%
विराम–विराम–विराम
29%
रुकना–बढ़ाना–बढ़ाना
12%
रोक–वृद्धि–रोक
7%
अन्य
7%
विराम–विराम–विराम 29%
बढ़ोतरी–ठहराव–ठहराव 15%
बढ़ोतरी–बढ़ोतरी–विराम 13%
रुकना–बढ़ाना–बढ़ाना 11.9%
$14,926 वॉल्यूम
$14,926 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
वृद्धि–विराम–वृद्धि
$329 वॉल्यूम
11%
बढ़ोतरी–ठहराव–ठहराव
$538 वॉल्यूम
15%
तीन बार वृद्धि (हाइक–हाइक–हाइक)
$231 वॉल्यूम
6%
बढ़ोतरी–बढ़ोतरी–विराम
$474 वॉल्यूम
13%
ठहराव–ठहराव–बढ़ोतरी
$618 वॉल्यूम
7%
विराम–विराम–विराम
$11,737 वॉल्यूम
29%
रुकना–बढ़ाना–बढ़ाना
$364 वॉल्यूम
12%
रोक–वृद्धि–रोक
$366 वॉल्यूम
7%
अन्य
$269 वॉल्यूम
7%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent U.S. labor market strength, including 162,000 August payroll gains and a 4.1% unemployment rate, combined with elevated inflation—PCE at 3.6–3.7% year-over-year and core measures above target—has shifted trader sentiment toward a higher probability of rate hikes at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. Market-implied odds reflect this tension, with Pause–Pause–Pause leading at 29% while various hike-inclusive paths collectively command over 60% probability. Persistent supply-side pressures, resilient growth, and evolving Fed communications under new leadership underpin the wide dispersion across sequences for the September, October, and December decisions. The upcoming September dot plot and incoming data on inflation and employment remain key near-term catalysts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,926समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent U.S. labor market strength, including 162,000 August payroll gains and a 4.1% unemployment rate, combined with elevated inflation—PCE at 3.6–3.7% year-over-year and core measures above target—has shifted trader sentiment toward a higher probability of rate hikes at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. Market-implied odds reflect this tension, with Pause–Pause–Pause leading at 29% while various hike-inclusive paths collectively command over 60% probability. Persistent supply-side pressures, resilient growth, and evolving Fed communications under new leadership underpin the wide dispersion across sequences for the September, October, and December decisions. The upcoming September dot plot and incoming data on inflation and employment remain key near-term catalysts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: September 15-16; October 27-28; and December 8-9.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$14,926समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 4:24 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. labor market strength, including 162,000 August payroll gains and a 4.1% unemployment rate, combined with elevated inflation—PCE at 3.6–3.7% year-over-year and core measures above target—has shifted trader sentiment toward a higher probability of rate hikes at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. Market-implied odds reflect this tension, with Pause–Pause–Pause leading at 29% while various hike-inclusive paths collectively command over 60% probability. Persistent supply-side pressures, resilient growth, and evolving Fed communications under new leadership underpin the wide dispersion across sequences for the September, October, and December decisions. The upcoming September dot plot and incoming data on inflation and employment remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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