Strong August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 jobs—well above consensus—combined with escalating Middle East tensions that pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel have lifted 10-year Treasury yields to 4.85%, their highest since late 2023. These developments intensified inflation concerns and shifted Fed funds futures to price roughly 60% odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Recent Treasury buyback operations fell short of some investor expectations, adding upward pressure on yields amid stable 4.1% unemployment and core inflation near 2.5%. Traders are watching the upcoming PPI release and FOMC communications for further signals on the policy path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$16,674 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
5.10%
3%
5.05%
8%
5.00%
15%
4.97%
17%
4.94%
27%
4.91%
35%
4.88%
45%
4.85%
76%
$16,674 वॉल्यूम
5.10%
$2,606 वॉल्यूम
3%
5.05%
$1,087 वॉल्यूम
8%
5.00%
$1,365 वॉल्यूम
15%
4.97%
$1,455 वॉल्यूम
17%
4.94%
$1,322 वॉल्यूम
27%
4.91%
$2,051 वॉल्यूम
35%
4.88%
$1,547 वॉल्यूम
45%
4.85%
$1,246 वॉल्यूम
76%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Strong August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 jobs—well above consensus—combined with escalating Middle East tensions that pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel have lifted 10-year Treasury yields to 4.85%, their highest since late 2023. These developments intensified inflation concerns and shifted Fed funds futures to price roughly 60% odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Recent Treasury buyback operations fell short of some investor expectations, adding upward pressure on yields amid stable 4.1% unemployment and core inflation near 2.5%. Traders are watching the upcoming PPI release and FOMC communications for further signals on the policy path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$16,674समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Strong August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 jobs—well above consensus—combined with escalating Middle East tensions that pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel have lifted 10-year Treasury yields to 4.85%, their highest since late 2023. These developments intensified inflation concerns and shifted Fed funds futures to price roughly 60% odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Recent Treasury buyback operations fell short of some investor expectations, adding upward pressure on yields amid stable 4.1% unemployment and core inflation near 2.5%. Traders are watching the upcoming PPI release and FOMC communications for further signals on the policy path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
वॉल्यूम
$16,674समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Strong August nonfarm payrolls of 162,000 jobs—well above consensus—combined with escalating Middle East tensions that pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel have lifted 10-year Treasury yields to 4.85%, their highest since late 2023. These developments intensified inflation concerns and shifted Fed funds futures to price roughly 60% odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Recent Treasury buyback operations fell short of some investor expectations, adding upward pressure on yields amid stable 4.1% unemployment and core inflation near 2.5%. Traders are watching the upcoming PPI release and FOMC communications for further signals on the policy path.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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