Recent stronger-than-expected August CPI and PPI readings, combined with elevated oil prices, have lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 70-90 percent, driving 10-year Treasury yields to 4.93-4.97 percent—near three-year highs. The rise reflects a higher term premium amid heavy Treasury supply, fiscal deficit concerns, and reduced expectations for near-term policy easing, with yields climbing roughly 20 basis points since early September. Traders are monitoring upcoming labor data and the FOMC statement for signals on whether the tightening cycle extends, while recent Treasury buybacks provided only temporary relief to longer-term rates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$28,908 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
4.76% से नीचे
21%
4.73% से नीचे
14%
4.70% से नीचे
9%
4.67% से नीचे
11%
4.64% से नीचे
5%
4.61% से नीचे
3%
4.56% से नीचे
3%
4.51% से नीचे
4%
4.45% से नीचे
3%
$28,908 वॉल्यूम
4.76% से नीचे
$10,069 वॉल्यूम
21%
4.73% से नीचे
$2,385 वॉल्यूम
14%
4.70% से नीचे
$5,397 वॉल्यूम
9%
4.67% से नीचे
$1,400 वॉल्यूम
11%
4.64% से नीचे
$2,802 वॉल्यूम
5%
4.61% से नीचे
$2,717 वॉल्यूम
3%
4.56% से नीचे
$1,149 वॉल्यूम
3%
4.51% से नीचे
$590 वॉल्यूम
4%
4.45% से नीचे
$2,400 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent stronger-than-expected August CPI and PPI readings, combined with elevated oil prices, have lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 70-90 percent, driving 10-year Treasury yields to 4.93-4.97 percent—near three-year highs. The rise reflects a higher term premium amid heavy Treasury supply, fiscal deficit concerns, and reduced expectations for near-term policy easing, with yields climbing roughly 20 basis points since early September. Traders are monitoring upcoming labor data and the FOMC statement for signals on whether the tightening cycle extends, while recent Treasury buybacks provided only temporary relief to longer-term rates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,908समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent stronger-than-expected August CPI and PPI readings, combined with elevated oil prices, have lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 70-90 percent, driving 10-year Treasury yields to 4.93-4.97 percent—near three-year highs. The rise reflects a higher term premium amid heavy Treasury supply, fiscal deficit concerns, and reduced expectations for near-term policy easing, with yields climbing roughly 20 basis points since early September. Traders are monitoring upcoming labor data and the FOMC statement for signals on whether the tightening cycle extends, while recent Treasury buybacks provided only temporary relief to longer-term rates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
वॉल्यूम
$28,908समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Recent stronger-than-expected August CPI and PPI readings, combined with elevated oil prices, have lifted market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting to around 70-90 percent, driving 10-year Treasury yields to 4.93-4.97 percent—near three-year highs. The rise reflects a higher term premium amid heavy Treasury supply, fiscal deficit concerns, and reduced expectations for near-term policy easing, with yields climbing roughly 20 basis points since early September. Traders are monitoring upcoming labor data and the FOMC statement for signals on whether the tightening cycle extends, while recent Treasury buybacks provided only temporary relief to longer-term rates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न