Resilient U.S. labor market conditions and above-target inflation continue to anchor the highest market-implied probability on no change at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. August nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000 with the unemployment rate steady at 4.1 percent, while July CPI printed 3.4 percent year-over-year and core at 2.5 percent. The federal funds target range remains 3.50–3.75 percent after the July hold, with three dissents favoring a hike. These factors, alongside recent communications pointing to a higher terminal rate path, support the 60.5 percent odds on no change and the 23 percent probability of a 25 basis point increase. Traders will watch the September 11 CPI release and the September 16–17 FOMC decision, which includes updated projections, for further signals on the policy trajectory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNo change 61%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 24%
25 bps decrease 14%
50+ bps decrease 3.5%
$68,368 वॉल्यूम
$68,368 वॉल्यूम
27 जन, 2027
50+ bps decrease
3%
25 bps decrease
14%
No change
61%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
24%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
2%
No change 61%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 24%
25 bps decrease 14%
50+ bps decrease 3.5%
$68,368 वॉल्यूम
$68,368 वॉल्यूम
27 जन, 2027
50+ bps decrease
$13,744 वॉल्यूम
3%
25 bps decrease
$14,301 वॉल्यूम
14%
No change
$20,220 वॉल्यूम
61%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
$16,643 वॉल्यूम
24%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
$3,461 वॉल्यूम
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Resilient U.S. labor market conditions and above-target inflation continue to anchor the highest market-implied probability on no change at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. August nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000 with the unemployment rate steady at 4.1 percent, while July CPI printed 3.4 percent year-over-year and core at 2.5 percent. The federal funds target range remains 3.50–3.75 percent after the July hold, with three dissents favoring a hike. These factors, alongside recent communications pointing to a higher terminal rate path, support the 60.5 percent odds on no change and the 23 percent probability of a 25 basis point increase. Traders will watch the September 11 CPI release and the September 16–17 FOMC decision, which includes updated projections, for further signals on the policy trajectory.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$68,368समाप्ति तिथि
27 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Resilient U.S. labor market conditions and above-target inflation continue to anchor the highest market-implied probability on no change at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. August nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000 with the unemployment rate steady at 4.1 percent, while July CPI printed 3.4 percent year-over-year and core at 2.5 percent. The federal funds target range remains 3.50–3.75 percent after the July hold, with three dissents favoring a hike. These factors, alongside recent communications pointing to a higher terminal rate path, support the 60.5 percent odds on no change and the 23 percent probability of a 25 basis point increase. Traders will watch the September 11 CPI release and the September 16–17 FOMC decision, which includes updated projections, for further signals on the policy trajectory.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$68,368समाप्ति तिथि
27 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Resilient U.S. labor market conditions and above-target inflation continue to anchor the highest market-implied probability on no change at the January 2027 FOMC meeting. August nonfarm payrolls rose 162,000 with the unemployment rate steady at 4.1 percent, while July CPI printed 3.4 percent year-over-year and core at 2.5 percent. The federal funds target range remains 3.50–3.75 percent after the July hold, with three dissents favoring a hike. These factors, alongside recent communications pointing to a higher terminal rate path, support the 60.5 percent odds on no change and the 23 percent probability of a 25 basis point increase. Traders will watch the September 11 CPI release and the September 16–17 FOMC decision, which includes updated projections, for further signals on the policy trajectory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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