Recent polling in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district has shown Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke holding a narrow lead or statistical tie with incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden, with a June survey placing her ahead 50-46. Primary elections concluded in August with both candidates securing their nominations, leaving the general election contest focused on issues such as data center regulations and energy costs. Van Orden’s favorability ratings have remained underwater in available surveys, while the district’s mixed partisan composition and recent history as a competitive seat contribute to trader assessments. These factors, alongside race ratings classifying the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, underpin the market’s pricing of Cooke as the clear leader ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Rebecca Cooke (D)
71%
Derrick Van Orden (R)
29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Rebecca Cooke (D)
$4,465 Vol.
71%
Derrick Van Orden (R)
$2,073 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district has shown Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke holding a narrow lead or statistical tie with incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden, with a June survey placing her ahead 50-46. Primary elections concluded in August with both candidates securing their nominations, leaving the general election contest focused on issues such as data center regulations and energy costs. Van Orden’s favorability ratings have remained underwater in available surveys, while the district’s mixed partisan composition and recent history as a competitive seat contribute to trader assessments. These factors, alongside race ratings classifying the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, underpin the market’s pricing of Cooke as the clear leader ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$6,538Date de fin
5 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district has shown Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke holding a narrow lead or statistical tie with incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden, with a June survey placing her ahead 50-46. Primary elections concluded in August with both candidates securing their nominations, leaving the general election contest focused on issues such as data center regulations and energy costs. Van Orden’s favorability ratings have remained underwater in available surveys, while the district’s mixed partisan composition and recent history as a competitive seat contribute to trader assessments. These factors, alongside race ratings classifying the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, underpin the market’s pricing of Cooke as the clear leader ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,538Date de fin
5 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling in Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district has shown Democratic challenger Rebecca Cooke holding a narrow lead or statistical tie with incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden, with a June survey placing her ahead 50-46. Primary elections concluded in August with both candidates securing their nominations, leaving the general election contest focused on issues such as data center regulations and energy costs. Van Orden’s favorability ratings have remained underwater in available surveys, while the district’s mixed partisan composition and recent history as a competitive seat contribute to trader assessments. These factors, alongside race ratings classifying the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, underpin the market’s pricing of Cooke as the clear leader ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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