Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race due to the district's strong Republican tilt, with roughly 40 percent registered Republicans compared to 28 percent Democrats across its nine counties in western New York and the Southern Tier. Langworthy, seeking a third term, faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democrat Aaron Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor who won his June primary, campaigns on affordability and community issues but confronts structural barriers in this solidly Republican seat. Recent announcements by Langworthy on rural health funding and quantum technology legislation underscore his focus on district priorities. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or sharp turnout shifts could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current positioning limit those prospects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants NY-23
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des représentants NY-23
$24,471 Vol.
$24,471 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
92%
Aaron Gies (D)
9%
$24,471 Vol.
$24,471 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
$11,093 Vol.
92%
Aaron Gies (D)
$13,378 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race due to the district's strong Republican tilt, with roughly 40 percent registered Republicans compared to 28 percent Democrats across its nine counties in western New York and the Southern Tier. Langworthy, seeking a third term, faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democrat Aaron Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor who won his June primary, campaigns on affordability and community issues but confronts structural barriers in this solidly Republican seat. Recent announcements by Langworthy on rural health funding and quantum technology legislation underscore his focus on district priorities. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or sharp turnout shifts could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current positioning limit those prospects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$24,471Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race due to the district's strong Republican tilt, with roughly 40 percent registered Republicans compared to 28 percent Democrats across its nine counties in western New York and the Southern Tier. Langworthy, seeking a third term, faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democrat Aaron Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor who won his June primary, campaigns on affordability and community issues but confronts structural barriers in this solidly Republican seat. Recent announcements by Langworthy on rural health funding and quantum technology legislation underscore his focus on district priorities. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or sharp turnout shifts could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current positioning limit those prospects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,471Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race due to the district's strong Republican tilt, with roughly 40 percent registered Republicans compared to 28 percent Democrats across its nine counties in western New York and the Southern Tier. Langworthy, seeking a third term, faces no primary opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. Democrat Aaron Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor who won his June primary, campaigns on affordability and community issues but confronts structural barriers in this solidly Republican seat. Recent announcements by Langworthy on rural health funding and quantum technology legislation underscore his focus on district priorities. Late developments such as a national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or sharp turnout shifts could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current positioning limit those prospects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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