Tennessee’s open gubernatorial contest, following term-limited Republican Bill Lee, provides the main lift to expected participation in the November 3 general election, pushing trader consensus toward the 1.8–2.2 million vote range. Incumbent Republican Senator Bill Hagerty faces Democrat Marquita Bradshaw in a rematch rated safe or solid Republican by forecasters, which caps broader mobilization in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally for turnout. August primaries recorded elevated early voting statewide and a Democratic surge in Shelby County linked to redistricting, offering localized signals of interest without evidence of a statewide surge. Voter registration closes October 5 and early voting runs October 14–29, periods that could still shift totals modestly depending on campaign outreach and any late national developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection au Sénat du Tennessee : participation
Élection au Sénat du Tennessee : participation
1.8M-2M 49.5%
2M-2.2M 33%
1.6M-1.8M 32.0%
2.2M-2.4M 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
<1.6M
1%
1.6M-1.8M
32%
1.8M-2M
50%
2M-2.2M
33%
2.2M-2.4M
6%
2.4M-2.6M
1%
2.6M+
1%
1.8M-2M 49.5%
2M-2.2M 33%
1.6M-1.8M 32.0%
2.2M-2.4M 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
<1.6M
$1,087 Vol.
1%
1.6M-1.8M
$1,084 Vol.
32%
1.8M-2M
$1,195 Vol.
50%
2M-2.2M
$1,557 Vol.
33%
2.2M-2.4M
$631 Vol.
6%
2.4M-2.6M
$675 Vol.
1%
2.6M+
$1,327 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tennessee’s open gubernatorial contest, following term-limited Republican Bill Lee, provides the main lift to expected participation in the November 3 general election, pushing trader consensus toward the 1.8–2.2 million vote range. Incumbent Republican Senator Bill Hagerty faces Democrat Marquita Bradshaw in a rematch rated safe or solid Republican by forecasters, which caps broader mobilization in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally for turnout. August primaries recorded elevated early voting statewide and a Democratic surge in Shelby County linked to redistricting, offering localized signals of interest without evidence of a statewide surge. Voter registration closes October 5 and early voting runs October 14–29, periods that could still shift totals modestly depending on campaign outreach and any late national developments.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Volume
$7,555Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tennessee’s open gubernatorial contest, following term-limited Republican Bill Lee, provides the main lift to expected participation in the November 3 general election, pushing trader consensus toward the 1.8–2.2 million vote range. Incumbent Republican Senator Bill Hagerty faces Democrat Marquita Bradshaw in a rematch rated safe or solid Republican by forecasters, which caps broader mobilization in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally for turnout. August primaries recorded elevated early voting statewide and a Democratic surge in Shelby County linked to redistricting, offering localized signals of interest without evidence of a statewide surge. Voter registration closes October 5 and early voting runs October 14–29, periods that could still shift totals modestly depending on campaign outreach and any late national developments.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,555Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Tennessee’s open gubernatorial contest, following term-limited Republican Bill Lee, provides the main lift to expected participation in the November 3 general election, pushing trader consensus toward the 1.8–2.2 million vote range. Incumbent Republican Senator Bill Hagerty faces Democrat Marquita Bradshaw in a rematch rated safe or solid Republican by forecasters, which caps broader mobilization in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally for turnout. August primaries recorded elevated early voting statewide and a Democratic surge in Shelby County linked to redistricting, offering localized signals of interest without evidence of a statewide surge. Voter registration closes October 5 and early voting runs October 14–29, periods that could still shift totals modestly depending on campaign outreach and any late national developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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