**Trader consensus on Nevada's November 3, 2026 gubernatorial turnout remains tightly balanced between the 900K–975K and 1.05M–1.125M ranges because the race sits in a classic midterm environment with a narrow contest.** Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a modest polling edge over Democratic challenger and Attorney General Aaron Ford, with recent surveys showing margins of 1–4 points. This competitiveness, alongside heavy early and mail voting typical in Nevada, supports the potential for participation above the 2022 midterm's roughly 1.02 million ballots. At the same time, the absence of a presidential contest on the ballot and historically modest off-year engagement cap upside, keeping lower ranges viable. Primary turnout rose only modestly to about 20 percent amid localized contests, while registered voters exceed 2.27 million. Scheduled early voting and any late shifts in enthusiasm or national conditions could widen the gap between these leading outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection du gouverneur du Nevada : participation
Élection du gouverneur du Nevada : participation
1,05M-1,125M 44%
900K-975K 25%
1,125M-1,2M 23%
1,2M-1,275M 8.3%
<900K
2%
900K-975K
46%
975K-1,05M
4%
1,05M-1,125M
44%
1,125M-1,2M
24%
1,2M-1,275M
8%
1,275M-1,35M
<1%
1,35M+
<1%
1,05M-1,125M 44%
900K-975K 25%
1,125M-1,2M 23%
1,2M-1,275M 8.3%
<900K
2%
900K-975K
46%
975K-1,05M
4%
1,05M-1,125M
44%
1,125M-1,2M
24%
1,2M-1,275M
8%
1,275M-1,35M
<1%
1,35M+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Nevada's November 3, 2026 gubernatorial turnout remains tightly balanced between the 900K–975K and 1.05M–1.125M ranges because the race sits in a classic midterm environment with a narrow contest.** Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a modest polling edge over Democratic challenger and Attorney General Aaron Ford, with recent surveys showing margins of 1–4 points. This competitiveness, alongside heavy early and mail voting typical in Nevada, supports the potential for participation above the 2022 midterm's roughly 1.02 million ballots. At the same time, the absence of a presidential contest on the ballot and historically modest off-year engagement cap upside, keeping lower ranges viable. Primary turnout rose only modestly to about 20 percent amid localized contests, while registered voters exceed 2.27 million. Scheduled early voting and any late shifts in enthusiasm or national conditions could widen the gap between these leading outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection intermédiaire de 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur de Californie sera-t-il compris entre 10 500 000 et 11 000 000 ?
Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors des élections de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur de l'Arizona sera-t-il compris entre 2 600 000 et 2 750 000 ?
Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat 2026 pour le gouverneur du Connecticut sera-t-il compris entre 1 300 000 et 1 400 000 ?
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes