Marcelo Castro holds the strongest trader consensus for finishing first in the Piauí Senate race, reflecting consistent leads in multiple polls for the top vote-getter among the two seats contested on October 4. Recent Datafolha surveying from mid-September shows him tied with Ciro Nogueira at 17% each in total intentions, with Júlio César close behind at 15% amid a technical three-way deadlock and elevated undecided shares. This positioning stems from Castro’s incumbency advantages and coalition support, while Nogueira’s established base keeps him competitive despite higher rejection levels in earlier surveys. The narrow spreads in polling averages sustain uncertainty about separation, with late campaign events, turnout shifts among key blocs, or second-preference flows potentially altering first-place ordering before election night.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMarcelo Castro 50%
Ciro Nogueira 30%
Julio Cesar 16.0%
Alexandre Mariano <1%
$39,722 Vol.
$39,722 Vol.
Marcelo Castro
48%
Ciro Nogueira
30%
Julio Cesar
12%
Alexandre Mariano
<1%
Antônio Barros
<1%
Antônio José Lira
<1%
Cloves José
<1%
Danniel Rocha
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
<1%
Francinaldo Leão
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
<1%
Jorge Lopes
<1%
Major Paulo Roberto
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%
Pastor Sena
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
<1%
Tiago Junqueira
<1%
Toinho Dufrango
<1%
Marcelo Castro 50%
Ciro Nogueira 30%
Julio Cesar 16.0%
Alexandre Mariano <1%
$39,722 Vol.
$39,722 Vol.
Marcelo Castro
48%
Ciro Nogueira
30%
Julio Cesar
12%
Alexandre Mariano
<1%
Antônio Barros
<1%
Antônio José Lira
<1%
Cloves José
<1%
Danniel Rocha
<1%
Dionisio Carvalho
<1%
Francinaldo Leão
<1%
Irmão Evandro Marques
<1%
Jardenya Bezerra
<1%
Jorge Lopes
<1%
Major Paulo Roberto
<1%
Maria Madalena Nunes
<1%
Missionário Evandro Craveiro
<1%
Pastor Sena
<1%
Pedro Laurentino
<1%
Tiago Junqueira
<1%
Toinho Dufrango
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Marcelo Castro holds the strongest trader consensus for finishing first in the Piauí Senate race, reflecting consistent leads in multiple polls for the top vote-getter among the two seats contested on October 4. Recent Datafolha surveying from mid-September shows him tied with Ciro Nogueira at 17% each in total intentions, with Júlio César close behind at 15% amid a technical three-way deadlock and elevated undecided shares. This positioning stems from Castro’s incumbency advantages and coalition support, while Nogueira’s established base keeps him competitive despite higher rejection levels in earlier surveys. The narrow spreads in polling averages sustain uncertainty about separation, with late campaign events, turnout shifts among key blocs, or second-preference flows potentially altering first-place ordering before election night.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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