The open Michigan Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Gary Peters, pits progressive nominee Abdul El-Sayed against Republican Mike Rogers in a November 3 contest that could influence Senate control. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August primary victory over establishment-backed Haley Stevens, consolidating progressive support while Rogers advanced unopposed. Aggregated polling shows a statistical toss-up, with El-Sayed leading by roughly 2 points in recent surveys amid strong performance among younger, college-educated, and Black voters offset by Rogers's edge with independents and older demographics. Traders assign El-Sayed a 65% implied probability, reflecting assessments of Democratic structural advantages in the state, fundraising totals, and turnout patterns despite the race's competitiveness and potential for late shifts from national economic or turnout factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Michigan
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Michigan
$677,855 Vol.
$677,855 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
66%
Mike Rogers (R)
35%
$677,855 Vol.
$677,855 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$371,051 Vol.
66%
Mike Rogers (R)
$306,803 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Michigan Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Gary Peters, pits progressive nominee Abdul El-Sayed against Republican Mike Rogers in a November 3 contest that could influence Senate control. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August primary victory over establishment-backed Haley Stevens, consolidating progressive support while Rogers advanced unopposed. Aggregated polling shows a statistical toss-up, with El-Sayed leading by roughly 2 points in recent surveys amid strong performance among younger, college-educated, and Black voters offset by Rogers's edge with independents and older demographics. Traders assign El-Sayed a 65% implied probability, reflecting assessments of Democratic structural advantages in the state, fundraising totals, and turnout patterns despite the race's competitiveness and potential for late shifts from national economic or turnout factors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$677,855Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Michigan Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Gary Peters, pits progressive nominee Abdul El-Sayed against Republican Mike Rogers in a November 3 contest that could influence Senate control. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August primary victory over establishment-backed Haley Stevens, consolidating progressive support while Rogers advanced unopposed. Aggregated polling shows a statistical toss-up, with El-Sayed leading by roughly 2 points in recent surveys amid strong performance among younger, college-educated, and Black voters offset by Rogers's edge with independents and older demographics. Traders assign El-Sayed a 65% implied probability, reflecting assessments of Democratic structural advantages in the state, fundraising totals, and turnout patterns despite the race's competitiveness and potential for late shifts from national economic or turnout factors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$677,855Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...The open Michigan Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Gary Peters, pits progressive nominee Abdul El-Sayed against Republican Mike Rogers in a November 3 contest that could influence Senate control. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August primary victory over establishment-backed Haley Stevens, consolidating progressive support while Rogers advanced unopposed. Aggregated polling shows a statistical toss-up, with El-Sayed leading by roughly 2 points in recent surveys amid strong performance among younger, college-educated, and Black voters offset by Rogers's edge with independents and older demographics. Traders assign El-Sayed a 65% implied probability, reflecting assessments of Democratic structural advantages in the state, fundraising totals, and turnout patterns despite the race's competitiveness and potential for late shifts from national economic or turnout factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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