Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey holds a commanding position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race, reflected in trader consensus pricing him at 97.4 percent. His recent primary win over Representative Seth Moulton by roughly 30 points and consistent double-digit leads in general-election polling against Republican nominee John Deaton underscore advantages from the state's strong Democratic lean, established voter base, and incumbency. Deaton, a trial attorney who won his primary unopposed, faces structural barriers in a commonwealth where recent presidential results favored Democrats by wide margins. Scenarios that could still shift odds include major scandals, health developments, or sharp national political realignments close to the November 3 election that alter turnout or crossover support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Massachusetts
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Massachusetts
$48,024 Vol.
$48,024 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Ed Markey (D)
97%
John Deaton (R)
2%
$48,024 Vol.
$48,024 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Ed Markey (D)
$35,054 Vol.
97%
John Deaton (R)
$12,970 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey holds a commanding position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race, reflected in trader consensus pricing him at 97.4 percent. His recent primary win over Representative Seth Moulton by roughly 30 points and consistent double-digit leads in general-election polling against Republican nominee John Deaton underscore advantages from the state's strong Democratic lean, established voter base, and incumbency. Deaton, a trial attorney who won his primary unopposed, faces structural barriers in a commonwealth where recent presidential results favored Democrats by wide margins. Scenarios that could still shift odds include major scandals, health developments, or sharp national political realignments close to the November 3 election that alter turnout or crossover support.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$48,024Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey holds a commanding position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race, reflected in trader consensus pricing him at 97.4 percent. His recent primary win over Representative Seth Moulton by roughly 30 points and consistent double-digit leads in general-election polling against Republican nominee John Deaton underscore advantages from the state's strong Democratic lean, established voter base, and incumbency. Deaton, a trial attorney who won his primary unopposed, faces structural barriers in a commonwealth where recent presidential results favored Democrats by wide margins. Scenarios that could still shift odds include major scandals, health developments, or sharp national political realignments close to the November 3 election that alter turnout or crossover support.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$48,024Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey holds a commanding position in the 2026 Massachusetts Senate race, reflected in trader consensus pricing him at 97.4 percent. His recent primary win over Representative Seth Moulton by roughly 30 points and consistent double-digit leads in general-election polling against Republican nominee John Deaton underscore advantages from the state's strong Democratic lean, established voter base, and incumbency. Deaton, a trial attorney who won his primary unopposed, faces structural barriers in a commonwealth where recent presidential results favored Democrats by wide margins. Scenarios that could still shift odds include major scandals, health developments, or sharp national political realignments close to the November 3 election that alter turnout or crossover support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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