Recent polling from early to mid-September places The Democrats, the left-wing Zionist slate led by Yair Golan, in a narrow 8-11 seat range across multiple surveys, consistent with the market's tight distribution around the 8-9 and 10-11 bands. The party's merged Labor-Meretz base continues to face structural limits from competition within the broader anti-Netanyahu opposition, where centrist lists like Yashar and Together draw overlapping voters, while small-party threshold crossings and undecideds create volatility in final allocations. List finalization in early September produced minimal shifts, leaving bloc arithmetic fluid ahead of the October 27 vote. Trader consensus reflects these stable but contested projections rather than any decisive catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour8-9 27%
<8 23%
10-11 22%
12-13 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<8
23%
8-9
27%
10-11
22%
12-13
14%
14+
7%
8-9 27%
<8 23%
10-11 22%
12-13 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<8
$939 Vol.
23%
8-9
$188 Vol.
27%
10-11
$194 Vol.
22%
12-13
$146 Vol.
14%
14+
$154 Vol.
7%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling from early to mid-September places The Democrats, the left-wing Zionist slate led by Yair Golan, in a narrow 8-11 seat range across multiple surveys, consistent with the market's tight distribution around the 8-9 and 10-11 bands. The party's merged Labor-Meretz base continues to face structural limits from competition within the broader anti-Netanyahu opposition, where centrist lists like Yashar and Together draw overlapping voters, while small-party threshold crossings and undecideds create volatility in final allocations. List finalization in early September produced minimal shifts, leaving bloc arithmetic fluid ahead of the October 27 vote. Trader consensus reflects these stable but contested projections rather than any decisive catalyst.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volume
$1,601Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling from early to mid-September places The Democrats, the left-wing Zionist slate led by Yair Golan, in a narrow 8-11 seat range across multiple surveys, consistent with the market's tight distribution around the 8-9 and 10-11 bands. The party's merged Labor-Meretz base continues to face structural limits from competition within the broader anti-Netanyahu opposition, where centrist lists like Yashar and Together draw overlapping voters, while small-party threshold crossings and undecideds create volatility in final allocations. List finalization in early September produced minimal shifts, leaving bloc arithmetic fluid ahead of the October 27 vote. Trader consensus reflects these stable but contested projections rather than any decisive catalyst.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$1,601Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from early to mid-September places The Democrats, the left-wing Zionist slate led by Yair Golan, in a narrow 8-11 seat range across multiple surveys, consistent with the market's tight distribution around the 8-9 and 10-11 bands. The party's merged Labor-Meretz base continues to face structural limits from competition within the broader anti-Netanyahu opposition, where centrist lists like Yashar and Together draw overlapping voters, while small-party threshold crossings and undecideds create volatility in final allocations. List finalization in early September produced minimal shifts, leaving bloc arithmetic fluid ahead of the October 27 vote. Trader consensus reflects these stable but contested projections rather than any decisive catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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