**Recent September 2026 polls consistently project United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7 or 8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election.** Multiple surveys from firms including Lazar, Midgam, Kantar, and others place the Ashkenazi Haredi party in this narrow band, reflecting steady support from its core voter base amid a fragmented political landscape. UTJ’s positioning stems from its focus on Haredi sectoral priorities, such as yeshiva funding and conscription exemptions, following its exit from the prior coalition in 2025 over stalled draft legislation. Internal party tensions, including recent factional splits within Agudat Yisrael and slate negotiations, have not materially shifted projected totals. Broader bloc dynamics—Netanyahu-aligned parties hovering near or below a majority—further anchor UTJ’s expected seat count, as its reliable turnout limits volatility compared to smaller or emerging lists. Trader consensus aligns with this polling stability rather than scenarios of significant gains or losses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection en Israël : UTJ # de sièges ?
Élection en Israël : UTJ # de sièges ?
7-8 65%
9-10 22%
11+ 5.3%
<7 3.4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<7
3%
7-8
65%
9-10
22%
11+
5%
7-8 65%
9-10 22%
11+ 5.3%
<7 3.4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 nov. 2026
<7
$1,057 Vol.
3%
7-8
$2,531 Vol.
65%
9-10
$133 Vol.
22%
11+
$455 Vol.
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Recent September 2026 polls consistently project United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7 or 8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election.** Multiple surveys from firms including Lazar, Midgam, Kantar, and others place the Ashkenazi Haredi party in this narrow band, reflecting steady support from its core voter base amid a fragmented political landscape.
UTJ’s positioning stems from its focus on Haredi sectoral priorities, such as yeshiva funding and conscription exemptions, following its exit from the prior coalition in 2025 over stalled draft legislation. Internal party tensions, including recent factional splits within Agudat Yisrael and slate negotiations, have not materially shifted projected totals. Broader bloc dynamics—Netanyahu-aligned parties hovering near or below a majority—further anchor UTJ’s expected seat count, as its reliable turnout limits volatility compared to smaller or emerging lists. Trader consensus aligns with this polling stability rather than scenarios of significant gains or losses.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$4,160Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Recent September 2026 polls consistently project United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7 or 8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election.** Multiple surveys from firms including Lazar, Midgam, Kantar, and others place the Ashkenazi Haredi party in this narrow band, reflecting steady support from its core voter base amid a fragmented political landscape.
UTJ’s positioning stems from its focus on Haredi sectoral priorities, such as yeshiva funding and conscription exemptions, following its exit from the prior coalition in 2025 over stalled draft legislation. Internal party tensions, including recent factional splits within Agudat Yisrael and slate negotiations, have not materially shifted projected totals. Broader bloc dynamics—Netanyahu-aligned parties hovering near or below a majority—further anchor UTJ’s expected seat count, as its reliable turnout limits volatility compared to smaller or emerging lists. Trader consensus aligns with this polling stability rather than scenarios of significant gains or losses.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$4,160Date de fin
27 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Recent September 2026 polls consistently project United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7 or 8 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election.** Multiple surveys from firms including Lazar, Midgam, Kantar, and others place the Ashkenazi Haredi party in this narrow band, reflecting steady support from its core voter base amid a fragmented political landscape. UTJ’s positioning stems from its focus on Haredi sectoral priorities, such as yeshiva funding and conscription exemptions, following its exit from the prior coalition in 2025 over stalled draft legislation. Internal party tensions, including recent factional splits within Agudat Yisrael and slate negotiations, have not materially shifted projected totals. Broader bloc dynamics—Netanyahu-aligned parties hovering near or below a majority—further anchor UTJ’s expected seat count, as its reliable turnout limits volatility compared to smaller or emerging lists. Trader consensus aligns with this polling stability rather than scenarios of significant gains or losses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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