**Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a rematch of their 2022 contest.** Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination unopposed after winning his prior elections by double-digit margins, while Bailey prevailed in the March 2026 Republican primary with 53%. Recent polling shows Pritzker leading by roughly 20 points, consistent with the state's strong Democratic tilt and historical results. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Pritzker's substantial self-funding and organizational edge have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the current implied probabilities. Bailey has emphasized turnout efforts, particularly in Chicago-area suburbs, and critiques of state direction, but faces persistent financial and structural disadvantages. Potential shifts could arise from major late-breaking developments such as scandals, health events, or unusually high Republican mobilization, though none have materialized to narrow the gap significantly ahead of the November 3 election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Illinois
Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Illinois
$11,258 Vol.
$11,258 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
JB Pritzker (D)
96%
Darren Bailey (R)
3%
$11,258 Vol.
$11,258 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
JB Pritzker (D)
$5,184 Vol.
96%
Darren Bailey (R)
$6,074 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a rematch of their 2022 contest.** Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination unopposed after winning his prior elections by double-digit margins, while Bailey prevailed in the March 2026 Republican primary with 53%. Recent polling shows Pritzker leading by roughly 20 points, consistent with the state's strong Democratic tilt and historical results. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Pritzker's substantial self-funding and organizational edge have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the current implied probabilities. Bailey has emphasized turnout efforts, particularly in Chicago-area suburbs, and critiques of state direction, but faces persistent financial and structural disadvantages. Potential shifts could arise from major late-breaking developments such as scandals, health events, or unusually high Republican mobilization, though none have materialized to narrow the gap significantly ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$11,258Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a rematch of their 2022 contest.** Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination unopposed after winning his prior elections by double-digit margins, while Bailey prevailed in the March 2026 Republican primary with 53%. Recent polling shows Pritzker leading by roughly 20 points, consistent with the state's strong Democratic tilt and historical results. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Pritzker's substantial self-funding and organizational edge have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the current implied probabilities. Bailey has emphasized turnout efforts, particularly in Chicago-area suburbs, and critiques of state direction, but faces persistent financial and structural disadvantages. Potential shifts could arise from major late-breaking developments such as scandals, health events, or unusually high Republican mobilization, though none have materialized to narrow the gap significantly ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$11,258Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race against Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a rematch of their 2022 contest.** Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination unopposed after winning his prior elections by double-digit margins, while Bailey prevailed in the March 2026 Republican primary with 53%. Recent polling shows Pritzker leading by roughly 20 points, consistent with the state's strong Democratic tilt and historical results. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Pritzker's substantial self-funding and organizational edge have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the current implied probabilities. Bailey has emphasized turnout efforts, particularly in Chicago-area suburbs, and critiques of state direction, but faces persistent financial and structural disadvantages. Potential shifts could arise from major late-breaking developments such as scandals, health events, or unusually high Republican mobilization, though none have materialized to narrow the gap significantly ahead of the November 3 election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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