Byron Donalds holds an 81.5% implied probability in the Florida governor race due to the state's entrenched Republican advantage, including a registration edge exceeding one million voters and consistent GOP victories in statewide contests since the mid-1990s. Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 47.8% of the vote in a crowded field and benefits from endorsements by Donald Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, along with major law enforcement groups. His campaign maintains a commanding fundraising lead, with over $41 million cash on hand compared to Democrat David Jolly's under $6 million. Jolly won his party's primary with 60.9% but trails structurally in a state where recent presidential results have favored Republicans by double digits. A late September Change Research poll showed Jolly narrowly ahead at 47% to 44%, yet within the margin of error, while market pricing reflects Florida's partisan baseline and Donalds' resource dominance heading into the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Floride
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Floride
$62,445 Vol.
$62,445 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
82%
David Jolly (D)
19%
$62,445 Vol.
$62,445 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$29,145 Vol.
82%
David Jolly (D)
$33,301 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds holds an 81.5% implied probability in the Florida governor race due to the state's entrenched Republican advantage, including a registration edge exceeding one million voters and consistent GOP victories in statewide contests since the mid-1990s. Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 47.8% of the vote in a crowded field and benefits from endorsements by Donald Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, along with major law enforcement groups. His campaign maintains a commanding fundraising lead, with over $41 million cash on hand compared to Democrat David Jolly's under $6 million. Jolly won his party's primary with 60.9% but trails structurally in a state where recent presidential results have favored Republicans by double digits. A late September Change Research poll showed Jolly narrowly ahead at 47% to 44%, yet within the margin of error, while market pricing reflects Florida's partisan baseline and Donalds' resource dominance heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$62,445Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds holds an 81.5% implied probability in the Florida governor race due to the state's entrenched Republican advantage, including a registration edge exceeding one million voters and consistent GOP victories in statewide contests since the mid-1990s. Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 47.8% of the vote in a crowded field and benefits from endorsements by Donald Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, along with major law enforcement groups. His campaign maintains a commanding fundraising lead, with over $41 million cash on hand compared to Democrat David Jolly's under $6 million. Jolly won his party's primary with 60.9% but trails structurally in a state where recent presidential results have favored Republicans by double digits. A late September Change Research poll showed Jolly narrowly ahead at 47% to 44%, yet within the margin of error, while market pricing reflects Florida's partisan baseline and Donalds' resource dominance heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$62,445Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Byron Donalds holds an 81.5% implied probability in the Florida governor race due to the state's entrenched Republican advantage, including a registration edge exceeding one million voters and consistent GOP victories in statewide contests since the mid-1990s. Donalds secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 47.8% of the vote in a crowded field and benefits from endorsements by Donald Trump and term-limited Governor Ron DeSantis, along with major law enforcement groups. His campaign maintains a commanding fundraising lead, with over $41 million cash on hand compared to Democrat David Jolly's under $6 million. Jolly won his party's primary with 60.9% but trails structurally in a state where recent presidential results have favored Republicans by double digits. A late September Change Research poll showed Jolly narrowly ahead at 47% to 44%, yet within the margin of error, while market pricing reflects Florida's partisan baseline and Donalds' resource dominance heading into the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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