David Crowley holds an 83.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race after winning the August 11 Democratic primary by a narrow margin over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, buoyed by retiring Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement and establishment backing. The Milwaukee County executive now faces Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, who secured his party’s nomination with over 95% of the primary vote following Donald Trump’s support. Recent Marquette University polling shows Crowley ahead 49-44 among likely voters in the November 3 contest for the open seat in the swing state. Trader consensus reflects Crowley’s advantages in name recognition, fundraising momentum, and Democratic turnout patterns in Milwaukee and suburban areas, though the race remains competitive given Wisconsin’s narrow historical margins and Tiffany’s strong rural and conservative base.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin
$577,453 Vol.
$577,453 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
84%
Tom Tiffany (R)
18%
$577,453 Vol.
$577,453 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
$310,352 Vol.
84%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$267,101 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley holds an 83.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race after winning the August 11 Democratic primary by a narrow margin over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, buoyed by retiring Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement and establishment backing. The Milwaukee County executive now faces Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, who secured his party’s nomination with over 95% of the primary vote following Donald Trump’s support. Recent Marquette University polling shows Crowley ahead 49-44 among likely voters in the November 3 contest for the open seat in the swing state. Trader consensus reflects Crowley’s advantages in name recognition, fundraising momentum, and Democratic turnout patterns in Milwaukee and suburban areas, though the race remains competitive given Wisconsin’s narrow historical margins and Tiffany’s strong rural and conservative base.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$577,453Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley holds an 83.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race after winning the August 11 Democratic primary by a narrow margin over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, buoyed by retiring Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement and establishment backing. The Milwaukee County executive now faces Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, who secured his party’s nomination with over 95% of the primary vote following Donald Trump’s support. Recent Marquette University polling shows Crowley ahead 49-44 among likely voters in the November 3 contest for the open seat in the swing state. Trader consensus reflects Crowley’s advantages in name recognition, fundraising momentum, and Democratic turnout patterns in Milwaukee and suburban areas, though the race remains competitive given Wisconsin’s narrow historical margins and Tiffany’s strong rural and conservative base.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$577,453Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...David Crowley holds an 83.5% implied probability in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race after winning the August 11 Democratic primary by a narrow margin over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, buoyed by retiring Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement and establishment backing. The Milwaukee County executive now faces Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, who secured his party’s nomination with over 95% of the primary vote following Donald Trump’s support. Recent Marquette University polling shows Crowley ahead 49-44 among likely voters in the November 3 contest for the open seat in the swing state. Trader consensus reflects Crowley’s advantages in name recognition, fundraising momentum, and Democratic turnout patterns in Milwaukee and suburban areas, though the race remains competitive given Wisconsin’s narrow historical margins and Tiffany’s strong rural and conservative base.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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