Melat Kiros secured the Democratic nomination for Colorado’s 1st Congressional District after defeating longtime incumbent Diana DeGette in the June 30, 2026 primary, a result that has anchored trader pricing for the November general election. The district, which encompasses Denver and has not elected a Republican since 1970, delivered Kiros a decisive primary victory fueled by progressive endorsements and turnout among younger and left-leaning voters. Republican nominee Christy Peterson advanced unopposed but has reported negligible fundraising and limited name recognition. These structural and recent primary dynamics have produced the current 97.5% implied probability for Kiros, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic margins in prior cycles. A late scandal, health event, or unusually large national partisan swing would be required to alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCO-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CO-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$43,053 Vol.
$43,053 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Melat Kiros (D)
98%
Christy Peterson (R)
2%
$43,053 Vol.
$43,053 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Melat Kiros (D)
$16,953 Vol.
98%
Christy Peterson (R)
$26,100 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melat Kiros secured the Democratic nomination for Colorado’s 1st Congressional District after defeating longtime incumbent Diana DeGette in the June 30, 2026 primary, a result that has anchored trader pricing for the November general election. The district, which encompasses Denver and has not elected a Republican since 1970, delivered Kiros a decisive primary victory fueled by progressive endorsements and turnout among younger and left-leaning voters. Republican nominee Christy Peterson advanced unopposed but has reported negligible fundraising and limited name recognition. These structural and recent primary dynamics have produced the current 97.5% implied probability for Kiros, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic margins in prior cycles. A late scandal, health event, or unusually large national partisan swing would be required to alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$43,053Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melat Kiros secured the Democratic nomination for Colorado’s 1st Congressional District after defeating longtime incumbent Diana DeGette in the June 30, 2026 primary, a result that has anchored trader pricing for the November general election. The district, which encompasses Denver and has not elected a Republican since 1970, delivered Kiros a decisive primary victory fueled by progressive endorsements and turnout among younger and left-leaning voters. Republican nominee Christy Peterson advanced unopposed but has reported negligible fundraising and limited name recognition. These structural and recent primary dynamics have produced the current 97.5% implied probability for Kiros, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic margins in prior cycles. A late scandal, health event, or unusually large national partisan swing would be required to alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,053Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Melat Kiros secured the Democratic nomination for Colorado’s 1st Congressional District after defeating longtime incumbent Diana DeGette in the June 30, 2026 primary, a result that has anchored trader pricing for the November general election. The district, which encompasses Denver and has not elected a Republican since 1970, delivered Kiros a decisive primary victory fueled by progressive endorsements and turnout among younger and left-leaning voters. Republican nominee Christy Peterson advanced unopposed but has reported negligible fundraising and limited name recognition. These structural and recent primary dynamics have produced the current 97.5% implied probability for Kiros, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic margins in prior cycles. A late scandal, health event, or unusually large national partisan swing would be required to alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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