José Maria Neves, the incumbent PAICV president first elected in 2021, holds a dominant position in the November 15, 2026, presidential contest due to his party's recent parliamentary majority and the advantages of incumbency in Cape Verde's semi-presidential system. The May 2026 legislative results shifted power to PAICV under Prime Minister Francisco Carvalho, ending prior cohabitation and aligning executive and legislative branches behind Neves. Eligible for a second term under constitutional rules requiring Cape Verdean origin, age over 35, and three years' residency, he faces opposition candidates including MpD figures Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa plus independents such as Joana Rosa and Casimiro de Pina. The two-round voting system and candidate signature requirements shape the field, with trader consensus reflecting limited recent shifts that could alter the frontrunner's path ahead of the first-round vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJosé Maria Neves 80%
Joana Rosa 5.4%
Casimiro de Pina 2.6%
Janine Lélis 2.2%
$22,354 Vol.
$22,354 Vol.
15 nov. 2026
José Maria Neves
80%
Joana Rosa
5%
Casimiro de Pina
3%
Janine Lélis
2%
Péricles Tavares
2%
Milton Paiva
2%
Fernando Delgado
1%
José Maria Neves 80%
Joana Rosa 5.4%
Casimiro de Pina 2.6%
Janine Lélis 2.2%
$22,354 Vol.
$22,354 Vol.
15 nov. 2026
José Maria Neves
$15,420 Vol.
80%
Joana Rosa
$1,898 Vol.
5%
Casimiro de Pina
$640 Vol.
3%
Janine Lélis
$2,856 Vol.
2%
Péricles Tavares
$772 Vol.
2%
Milton Paiva
$394 Vol.
2%
Fernando Delgado
$375 Vol.
1%
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).José Maria Neves, the incumbent PAICV president first elected in 2021, holds a dominant position in the November 15, 2026, presidential contest due to his party's recent parliamentary majority and the advantages of incumbency in Cape Verde's semi-presidential system. The May 2026 legislative results shifted power to PAICV under Prime Minister Francisco Carvalho, ending prior cohabitation and aligning executive and legislative branches behind Neves. Eligible for a second term under constitutional rules requiring Cape Verdean origin, age over 35, and three years' residency, he faces opposition candidates including MpD figures Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa plus independents such as Joana Rosa and Casimiro de Pina. The two-round voting system and candidate signature requirements shape the field, with trader consensus reflecting limited recent shifts that could alter the frontrunner's path ahead of the first-round vote.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET
Volume
$22,354Date de fin
15 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).José Maria Neves, the incumbent PAICV president first elected in 2021, holds a dominant position in the November 15, 2026, presidential contest due to his party's recent parliamentary majority and the advantages of incumbency in Cape Verde's semi-presidential system. The May 2026 legislative results shifted power to PAICV under Prime Minister Francisco Carvalho, ending prior cohabitation and aligning executive and legislative branches behind Neves. Eligible for a second term under constitutional rules requiring Cape Verdean origin, age over 35, and three years' residency, he faces opposition candidates including MpD figures Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa plus independents such as Joana Rosa and Casimiro de Pina. The two-round voting system and candidate signature requirements shape the field, with trader consensus reflecting limited recent shifts that could alter the frontrunner's path ahead of the first-round vote.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Volume
$22,354Date de fin
15 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...José Maria Neves, the incumbent PAICV president first elected in 2021, holds a dominant position in the November 15, 2026, presidential contest due to his party's recent parliamentary majority and the advantages of incumbency in Cape Verde's semi-presidential system. The May 2026 legislative results shifted power to PAICV under Prime Minister Francisco Carvalho, ending prior cohabitation and aligning executive and legislative branches behind Neves. Eligible for a second term under constitutional rules requiring Cape Verdean origin, age over 35, and three years' residency, he faces opposition candidates including MpD figures Janine Lélis and Joana Rosa plus independents such as Joana Rosa and Casimiro de Pina. The two-round voting system and candidate signature requirements shape the field, with trader consensus reflecting limited recent shifts that could alter the frontrunner's path ahead of the first-round vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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