Recent polling trends positioned the Grüne for a seat total in the mid-20s, reflecting their stable support around 15-16 percent in surveys conducted in the weeks before the September 20, 2026, Berlin state election. This range aligned with the party's performance in urban districts and its established voter base, while the overall fragmentation among other parties limited prospects for larger swings. Traders viewed the 25-29 outcome as the most probable based on consistent projections from multiple institutes and the absence of major late-campaign disruptions. Factors that could still alter the final allocation include adjustments from overhang and leveling seats under Berlin's electoral rules, variations in turnout among key demographics, or delays in confirming the exact chamber size.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour25-29 95.7%
30-34 2.5%
20-24 2.5%
35-39 <1%
$49,606 Vol.
$49,606 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
<20
1%
20-24
2%
25-29
96%
30-34
3%
35-39
1%
40-44
<1%
45+
<1%
25-29 95.7%
30-34 2.5%
20-24 2.5%
35-39 <1%
$49,606 Vol.
$49,606 Vol.
20 sept. 2026
<20
$2,107 Vol.
1%
20-24
$7,641 Vol.
2%
25-29
$8,485 Vol.
96%
30-34
$12,324 Vol.
3%
35-39
$14,459 Vol.
1%
40-44
$3,104 Vol.
<1%
45+
$1,486 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling trends positioned the Grüne for a seat total in the mid-20s, reflecting their stable support around 15-16 percent in surveys conducted in the weeks before the September 20, 2026, Berlin state election. This range aligned with the party's performance in urban districts and its established voter base, while the overall fragmentation among other parties limited prospects for larger swings. Traders viewed the 25-29 outcome as the most probable based on consistent projections from multiple institutes and the absence of major late-campaign disruptions. Factors that could still alter the final allocation include adjustments from overhang and leveling seats under Berlin's electoral rules, variations in turnout among key demographics, or delays in confirming the exact chamber size.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Volume
$49,606Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling trends positioned the Grüne for a seat total in the mid-20s, reflecting their stable support around 15-16 percent in surveys conducted in the weeks before the September 20, 2026, Berlin state election. This range aligned with the party's performance in urban districts and its established voter base, while the overall fragmentation among other parties limited prospects for larger swings. Traders viewed the 25-29 outcome as the most probable based on consistent projections from multiple institutes and the absence of major late-campaign disruptions. Factors that could still alter the final allocation include adjustments from overhang and leveling seats under Berlin's electoral rules, variations in turnout among key demographics, or delays in confirming the exact chamber size.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$49,606Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends positioned the Grüne for a seat total in the mid-20s, reflecting their stable support around 15-16 percent in surveys conducted in the weeks before the September 20, 2026, Berlin state election. This range aligned with the party's performance in urban districts and its established voter base, while the overall fragmentation among other parties limited prospects for larger swings. Traders viewed the 25-29 outcome as the most probable based on consistent projections from multiple institutes and the absence of major late-campaign disruptions. Factors that could still alter the final allocation include adjustments from overhang and leveling seats under Berlin's electoral rules, variations in turnout among key demographics, or delays in confirming the exact chamber size.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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