Recent polling averages place Die Linke at approximately 11 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, with the most recent Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA surveys from late August all showing this exact level. This stability near the midpoint of the leading 8-11 percent and 11-14 percent bands, combined with the party’s modest improvement over its 9.9 percent result in 2021, underpins trader positioning in those two intervals. The election on 20 September leaves limited time for major shifts, while the party’s role in the incumbent SPD coalition and competition for third place with the CDU add context without altering the narrow band of recent estimates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour8-11 % 53%
11-14% 26%
<8% 23.3%
14 %+ <1%
$34,053 Vol.
$34,053 Vol.
<8%
23%
8-11 %
53%
11-14%
26%
14 %+
1%
8-11 % 53%
11-14% 26%
<8% 23.3%
14 %+ <1%
$34,053 Vol.
$34,053 Vol.
<8%
23%
8-11 %
53%
11-14%
26%
14 %+
1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Marché ouvert : Aug 20, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Die Linke at approximately 11 percent in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, with the most recent Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA surveys from late August all showing this exact level. This stability near the midpoint of the leading 8-11 percent and 11-14 percent bands, combined with the party’s modest improvement over its 9.9 percent result in 2021, underpins trader positioning in those two intervals. The election on 20 September leaves limited time for major shifts, while the party’s role in the incumbent SPD coalition and competition for third place with the CDU add context without altering the narrow band of recent estimates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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