**Friedrich Merz faces intense pressure on his chancellorship following a string of poor state election results for the CDU and historically low personal approval ratings.** In the September 20, 2026, votes in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and Berlin, the CDU recorded one of its worst postwar performances, hovering near or just above the 5% threshold in the former while finishing behind Die Linke in the capital; the far-right AfD posted strong gains in both contests. These outcomes followed a September 6 defeat in Saxony-Anhalt, where the AfD came close to an absolute majority and the CDU’s support was halved. Merz has publicly committed to remaining in office and advancing tax, healthcare, pension, and bureaucracy-reduction measures with his SPD coalition partners, canceling a planned UN General Assembly trip to manage the fallout. Speculation centers on a possible internal CDU “Kanzlertausch” (chancellor swap) involving figures such as Hendrik Wüst or Markus Söder, amid reports of private discussions and calls from some party members and opposition figures for his departure. National polls show the AfD leading and the CDU trailing, with Merz’s satisfaction ratings around 13–14 percent. Traders are weighing the risk of an early replacement against constitutional and coalition hurdles that make a mid-term change or snap election difficult before the scheduled 2029 federal vote. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming CDU leadership consultations, the autumn legislative calendar for reforms, and any further state-level tests that could intensify or ease internal party tensions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourChancellor Merz cancels planned New York trip amid domestic political crisis
Merz canceled his trip to New York and the UN General Assembly to focus on the domestic political crisis following electoral setbacks, signaling the seriousness of the situation but also his intent to maintain leadership.
Chancellor Merz vows to stay in office after historic state election defeats
September 30, 2026 rises to 6%1%
Following severe losses in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania state elections, Merz publicly committed to remain Chancellor and continue reforms, defying calls for his resignation. This statement temporarily stabilized market expectations about his tenure.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes