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icon for Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place

Jaques Wagner 54%

Rui Costa 17.0%

Angelo Coronel 14.4%

João Roma 12.4%

Polymarket

$35,036 Vol.

Jaques Wagner 54%

Rui Costa 17.0%

Angelo Coronel 14.4%

João Roma 12.4%

Polymarket

$35,036 Vol.

icon for Jaques Wagner

Jaques Wagner

$23,482 Vol.

54%

icon for Rui Costa

Rui Costa

$4,840 Vol.

17%

icon for Angelo Coronel

Angelo Coronel

$1,641 Vol.

14%

icon for João Roma

João Roma

$1,255 Vol.

7%

icon for Carlos Sodré

Carlos Sodré

$681 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gregorio Gould

Gregorio Gould

$570 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Carvalho

Marcelo Carvalho

$488 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Millet

Marcelo Millet

$673 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Santtana

Marcelo Santtana

$654 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professora Delliana

Professora Delliana

$751 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jaques Wagner holds the strongest trader consensus for second place in Bahia’s October 2026 Senate race because polls consistently place him behind fellow PT figure Rui Costa while ahead of opposition names, reflecting the party’s structural advantage in the state. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest releases through early September, show Costa leading overall with Wagner in a narrowing contest for the remaining seat against João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), who sit within the margin of error. Wagner’s position has been pressured by high rejection ratings and a mid-year federal investigation tied to financial irregularities, which contributed to modest declines in his support. Elevated shares of undecided and blank/null voters, combined with voters selecting two candidates, keep the ordering fluid until final ballot consolidation.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$35,036
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jaques Wagner holds the strongest trader consensus for second place in Bahia’s October 2026 Senate race because polls consistently place him behind fellow PT figure Rui Costa while ahead of opposition names, reflecting the party’s structural advantage in the state. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest releases through early September, show Costa leading overall with Wagner in a narrowing contest for the remaining seat against João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos), who sit within the margin of error. Wagner’s position has been pressured by high rejection ratings and a mid-year federal investigation tied to financial irregularities, which contributed to modest declines in his support. Elevated shares of undecided and blank/null voters, combined with voters selecting two candidates, keep the ordering fluid until final ballot consolidation.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$35,036
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Rui Costa remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Bahia en 2026 ?

Rui Costa remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Bahia en 2026 ?

77%
Oui
icon for Filipe Barros obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de votes lors de l'élection au Sénat du Paraná en 2026 ?

Filipe Barros obtiendra-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de votes lors de l'élection au Sénat du Paraná en 2026 ?

44%
Oui
icon for Bia Kicis obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District fédéral de 2026 ?

Bia Kicis obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District fédéral de 2026 ?

52%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 10 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Jaques Wagner » à 54%, suivi de « Rui Costa » à 17%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 54¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place » a généré $35K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place », parcourez les 10 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place » est « Jaques Wagner » à 54%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Rui Costa » à 17%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat de Bahia : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.