Katie Hobbs holds an 86.5% implied probability in the Arizona governor race due to her consistent polling edge as the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term. Recent August surveys show her leading Republican nominee Andy Biggs by an average of roughly 7–11 points among likely voters, driven by strong performance with independents, women, and her party base. Biggs secured the GOP nomination in the July primary with over 70% of the vote but has shown weaker consolidation of Republican support and limited crossover appeal in head-to-head matchups. The race remains months from the November 3 general election, with factors such as turnout, economic conditions, and further campaign messaging likely to influence final margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Arizona
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Arizona
$68,325 Vol.
$68,325 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
87%
Andy Biggs (R)
14%
$68,325 Vol.
$68,325 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Katie Hobbs (D)
$31,648 Vol.
87%
Andy Biggs (R)
$36,677 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Katie Hobbs holds an 86.5% implied probability in the Arizona governor race due to her consistent polling edge as the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term. Recent August surveys show her leading Republican nominee Andy Biggs by an average of roughly 7–11 points among likely voters, driven by strong performance with independents, women, and her party base. Biggs secured the GOP nomination in the July primary with over 70% of the vote but has shown weaker consolidation of Republican support and limited crossover appeal in head-to-head matchups. The race remains months from the November 3 general election, with factors such as turnout, economic conditions, and further campaign messaging likely to influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$68,325Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Katie Hobbs holds an 86.5% implied probability in the Arizona governor race due to her consistent polling edge as the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term. Recent August surveys show her leading Republican nominee Andy Biggs by an average of roughly 7–11 points among likely voters, driven by strong performance with independents, women, and her party base. Biggs secured the GOP nomination in the July primary with over 70% of the vote but has shown weaker consolidation of Republican support and limited crossover appeal in head-to-head matchups. The race remains months from the November 3 general election, with factors such as turnout, economic conditions, and further campaign messaging likely to influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$68,325Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Katie Hobbs holds an 86.5% implied probability in the Arizona governor race due to her consistent polling edge as the Democratic incumbent seeking a second term. Recent August surveys show her leading Republican nominee Andy Biggs by an average of roughly 7–11 points among likely voters, driven by strong performance with independents, women, and her party base. Biggs secured the GOP nomination in the July primary with over 70% of the vote but has shown weaker consolidation of Republican support and limited crossover appeal in head-to-head matchups. The race remains months from the November 3 general election, with factors such as turnout, economic conditions, and further campaign messaging likely to influence final margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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