Dennis Weilmann, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeister of Wolfsburg since 2021, holds a commanding lead in the September 13, 2026, direct election due to his established administrative record on economic development, urban projects, and local partnerships. A crowded field of seven candidates—including SPD's Karsten Schneider, Greens' Jens Hortmeyer, FDP's Marco Meiners, AfD's Thomas Schlick, Left's Timothy Petersen, and independent Andreas Klaffehn—has fragmented opposition support, limiting any challenger's path to a first-round majority or strong runoff position. Traders view this split alongside Weilmann's local roots and prior win as key drivers of the implied probability. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected coalition shift could alter outcomes, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDennis Weilmann 98.7%
Thomas Schlick <1%
Karsten Schneider <1%
Jens Hortmeyer <1%
$19,338 Vol.
$19,338 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Dennis Weilmann
99%
Thomas Schlick
1%
Karsten Schneider
1%
Jens Hortmeyer
<1%
Marco Meiners
<1%
Andreas Klaffehn
<1%
Timothy Luca Petersen
<1%
Dennis Weilmann 98.7%
Thomas Schlick <1%
Karsten Schneider <1%
Jens Hortmeyer <1%
$19,338 Vol.
$19,338 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Dennis Weilmann
$14,086 Vol.
99%
Thomas Schlick
$817 Vol.
1%
Karsten Schneider
$1,660 Vol.
1%
Jens Hortmeyer
$662 Vol.
<1%
Marco Meiners
$684 Vol.
<1%
Andreas Klaffehn
$693 Vol.
<1%
Timothy Luca Petersen
$736 Vol.
<1%
The next Wolfsburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Wolfsburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Wolfsburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Wolfsburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Wolfsburg, including its election office and city election committee.Dennis Weilmann, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeister of Wolfsburg since 2021, holds a commanding lead in the September 13, 2026, direct election due to his established administrative record on economic development, urban projects, and local partnerships. A crowded field of seven candidates—including SPD's Karsten Schneider, Greens' Jens Hortmeyer, FDP's Marco Meiners, AfD's Thomas Schlick, Left's Timothy Petersen, and independent Andreas Klaffehn—has fragmented opposition support, limiting any challenger's path to a first-round majority or strong runoff position. Traders view this split alongside Weilmann's local roots and prior win as key drivers of the implied probability. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected coalition shift could alter outcomes, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
The next Wolfsburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Wolfsburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Wolfsburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Wolfsburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Wolfsburg, including its election office and city election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Wolfsburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Wolfsburg, including its election office and city election committee.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:16 PM ET
Volume
$19,338End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Wolfsburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Wolfsburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Wolfsburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Wolfsburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Wolfsburg, including its election office and city election committee.Dennis Weilmann, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeister of Wolfsburg since 2021, holds a commanding lead in the September 13, 2026, direct election due to his established administrative record on economic development, urban projects, and local partnerships. A crowded field of seven candidates—including SPD's Karsten Schneider, Greens' Jens Hortmeyer, FDP's Marco Meiners, AfD's Thomas Schlick, Left's Timothy Petersen, and independent Andreas Klaffehn—has fragmented opposition support, limiting any challenger's path to a first-round majority or strong runoff position. Traders view this split alongside Weilmann's local roots and prior win as key drivers of the implied probability. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected coalition shift could alter outcomes, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
The next Wolfsburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Wolfsburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Wolfsburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Wolfsburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Wolfsburg, including its election office and city election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Wolfsburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Wolfsburg, including its election office and city election committee.
Volume
$19,338End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dennis Weilmann, the incumbent CDU Oberbürgermeister of Wolfsburg since 2021, holds a commanding lead in the September 13, 2026, direct election due to his established administrative record on economic development, urban projects, and local partnerships. A crowded field of seven candidates—including SPD's Karsten Schneider, Greens' Jens Hortmeyer, FDP's Marco Meiners, AfD's Thomas Schlick, Left's Timothy Petersen, and independent Andreas Klaffehn—has fragmented opposition support, limiting any challenger's path to a first-round majority or strong runoff position. Traders view this split alongside Weilmann's local roots and prior win as key drivers of the implied probability. A late scandal, health issue, or unexpected coalition shift could alter outcomes, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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