Belit Onay, the incumbent Green Party mayor seeking a second term, holds the strongest position in trader consensus ahead of the September 13 first-round vote, reflecting consistent polling leads of around 40 percent compared with roughly 20-21 percent each for SPD challenger and current deputy Axel von der Ohe and CDU candidate Peter Karst. Recent late-August Forsa surveys commissioned by local media reinforced Onay’s advantage on priorities including climate neutrality targets, inner-city redevelopment, expanded public safety measures, and mobility infrastructure. The nine-candidate field makes an outright majority unlikely, directing attention to potential September 27 runoff dynamics between the top two finishers and turnout patterns among key voter groups. Minor candidates, including AfD’s Jessica Schülke and others, register low single-digit or sub-1 percent support in available data, aligning with their minimal implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHannover Mayoral Election Winner
Belit Onay 76%
Axel von der Ohe 24%
Peter Karst 1.4%
Jessica Schülke <1%
$37,832 Vol.
$37,832 Vol.

Belit Onay
76%

Axel von der Ohe
24%

Peter Karst
1%

Jessica Schülke
<1%

Maren Kaminski
<1%

Larissa Boch
<1%

Bruno Adam Wolf
<1%

Thorsten Meyer
<1%

Muammer Duran
<1%
Belit Onay 76%
Axel von der Ohe 24%
Peter Karst 1.4%
Jessica Schülke <1%
$37,832 Vol.
$37,832 Vol.

Belit Onay
76%

Axel von der Ohe
24%

Peter Karst
1%

Jessica Schülke
<1%

Maren Kaminski
<1%

Larissa Boch
<1%

Bruno Adam Wolf
<1%

Thorsten Meyer
<1%

Muammer Duran
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Belit Onay, the incumbent Green Party mayor seeking a second term, holds the strongest position in trader consensus ahead of the September 13 first-round vote, reflecting consistent polling leads of around 40 percent compared with roughly 20-21 percent each for SPD challenger and current deputy Axel von der Ohe and CDU candidate Peter Karst. Recent late-August Forsa surveys commissioned by local media reinforced Onay’s advantage on priorities including climate neutrality targets, inner-city redevelopment, expanded public safety measures, and mobility infrastructure. The nine-candidate field makes an outright majority unlikely, directing attention to potential September 27 runoff dynamics between the top two finishers and turnout patterns among key voter groups. Minor candidates, including AfD’s Jessica Schülke and others, register low single-digit or sub-1 percent support in available data, aligning with their minimal implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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