President Donald Trump shows no signs of intending to step down before the end of 2026, with recent activities centered on policy implementation, midterm campaigning, and staff retention through November elections. He has publicly discussed post-presidency life while acknowledging constitutional term limits, and no impeachment proceedings, cabinet actions under the 25th Amendment, or health disclosures have emerged. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent on "No" reflects the absence of acute crises or institutional pressure that historically precede resignations. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a sudden medical event, major scandal prompting Senate conviction risk, or unforeseen party dynamics after the midterms, though primary indicators as of early September point to continuity through year-end.