Current National Weather Service and NOAA short-range guidance shows scattered precipitation chances on September 19, 2026, driven primarily by a weak frontal boundary and Gulf moisture interacting with daytime heating. Southern and central regions, including parts of Florida and the Midwest, carry the highest probabilities of showers and thunderstorms (30–60 percent in afternoon model runs), while the Northeast and northern Plains trend drier with mostly sunny conditions and PoP below 20 percent. Indian Meteorological Department forecasts indicate fairly widespread rain across Gujarat, Maharashtra, and adjacent states, consistent with monsoon patterns. Traders should monitor the next NWS model cycles and updated QPF outputs for any shifts in steering flow or moisture transport ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on September 19?
New York, NY
24%
Los Angeles, CA
24%
Chicago, IL
76%
Houston, TX
24%
Dallas, TX
24%
Phoenix, AZ
24%
Philadelphia, PA
24%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
58%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
24%
Boston, MA
24%
New Orleans, LA
24%
San Francisco, CA
24%
$18 Vol.
New York, NY
24%
Los Angeles, CA
24%
Chicago, IL
76%
Houston, TX
24%
Dallas, TX
24%
Phoenix, AZ
24%
Philadelphia, PA
24%
Denver, CO
50%
Washington, DC
50%
Atlanta, GA
58%
Miami, FL
50%
Seattle, WA
24%
Boston, MA
24%
New Orleans, LA
24%
San Francisco, CA
24%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Current National Weather Service and NOAA short-range guidance shows scattered precipitation chances on September 19, 2026, driven primarily by a weak frontal boundary and Gulf moisture interacting with daytime heating. Southern and central regions, including parts of Florida and the Midwest, carry the highest probabilities of showers and thunderstorms (30–60 percent in afternoon model runs), while the Northeast and northern Plains trend drier with mostly sunny conditions and PoP below 20 percent. Indian Meteorological Department forecasts indicate fairly widespread rain across Gujarat, Maharashtra, and adjacent states, consistent with monsoon patterns. Traders should monitor the next NWS model cycles and updated QPF outputs for any shifts in steering flow or moisture transport ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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