National Weather Service climatological reports for September 18, 2026, indicate measurable precipitation was limited primarily to portions of the Midwest, with locations like Minneapolis-St. Paul recording 0.55 inches and some southern Minnesota sites exceeding 1 inch amid lingering showers and thunderstorms fueled by heat-based instability. Trace amounts or light rain occurred in Chicago and Cincinnati, while Washington D.C., Seattle, San Francisco, and Los Angeles reported zero measurable rain under drier conditions. A broad heat wave across the Southern Plains and Mississippi Valley suppressed convection there, consistent with seasonal patterns where frontal boundaries and moisture transport dictate localized rainfall. Traders monitoring resolution would focus on official daily totals exceeding 0.01 inches from NWS stations, with any late model revisions or verification updates potentially shifting consensus on specific city or regional outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will it rain on September 18?
New York, NY
7%
Los Angeles, CA
1%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
2%
Dallas, TX
1%
Phoenix, AZ
1%
Philadelphia, PA
25%
Denver, CO
100%
Washington, DC
2%
Atlanta, GA
25%
Miami, FL
100%
Seattle, WA
1%
Boston, MA
3%
New Orleans, LA
3%
San Francisco, CA
4%
$1,977 Vol.
New York, NY
7%
Los Angeles, CA
1%
Chicago, IL
50%
Houston, TX
2%
Dallas, TX
1%
Phoenix, AZ
1%
Philadelphia, PA
25%
Denver, CO
100%
Washington, DC
2%
Atlanta, GA
25%
Miami, FL
100%
Seattle, WA
1%
Boston, MA
3%
New Orleans, LA
3%
San Francisco, CA
4%
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...National Weather Service climatological reports for September 18, 2026, indicate measurable precipitation was limited primarily to portions of the Midwest, with locations like Minneapolis-St. Paul recording 0.55 inches and some southern Minnesota sites exceeding 1 inch amid lingering showers and thunderstorms fueled by heat-based instability. Trace amounts or light rain occurred in Chicago and Cincinnati, while Washington D.C., Seattle, San Francisco, and Los Angeles reported zero measurable rain under drier conditions. A broad heat wave across the Southern Plains and Mississippi Valley suppressed convection there, consistent with seasonal patterns where frontal boundaries and moisture transport dictate localized rainfall. Traders monitoring resolution would focus on official daily totals exceeding 0.01 inches from NWS stations, with any late model revisions or verification updates potentially shifting consensus on specific city or regional outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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