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icon for Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

icon for Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Up

>99% chance
Polymarket

$6,032 Vol.

Up

>99% chance
Polymarket

$6,032 Vol.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%. If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on 6 September produced a record voter turnout of 77.8 percent, a 17.5-point increase from 60.3 percent in 2021. This outcome followed a polarized campaign marked by the AfD's strong mobilization and widespread public attention, with provisional counts already showing turnout exceeding prior levels by midday. Official tallies from the state returning officer and broadcasters confirmed the rise across nearly all districts, including high postal voting participation. Trader consensus at 100 percent for higher turnout reflects these verified results and the absence of credible challenges to the preliminary figures. Only an unprecedented recount error or reclassification of invalid ballots could alter the direction, scenarios viewed as remote given the scale of the increase and cross-verified data.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.

If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.

The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%. If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$6,032
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%. If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on 6 September produced a record voter turnout of 77.8 percent, a 17.5-point increase from 60.3 percent in 2021. This outcome followed a polarized campaign marked by the AfD's strong mobilization and widespread public attention, with provisional counts already showing turnout exceeding prior levels by midday. Official tallies from the state returning officer and broadcasters confirmed the rise across nearly all districts, including high postal voting participation. Trader consensus at 100 percent for higher turnout reflects these verified results and the absence of credible challenges to the preliminary figures. Only an unprecedented recount error or reclassification of invalid ballots could alter the direction, scenarios viewed as remote given the scale of the increase and cross-verified data.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.

If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.

The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%. If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$6,032
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?'s price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 100% for "Up." A price of 100% means the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down? price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?," decide whether you believe Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?'s price at noon ET on September 6 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?'s price at noon ET on August 6. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

The current probability for "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?" is 100% for "Up," meaning the Polymarket crowd currently assigns a 100% chance that Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?'s price will finish up over this daily window. These odds update in real-time as traders react to live Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down? price data. Over a full day, odds reflect evolving sentiment as the day's price action unfolds. Check back frequently or trade now before the window closes.

The "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?" market resolves based on a comparison of Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?'s price at noon ET on September 6 versus noon ET on August 6, using Binance SACHSEN-ANHALT-PARLIAMENTARY-ELECTION-TURNOUT/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the September 6 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.