Expanded eligibility to roughly 2.5 million voters, including first-time participation by 16- and 17-year-olds plus higher naturalization numbers, has enlarged the electorate beyond the 2.43 million recorded for the 2023 repeat election. A tight multi-party contest featuring CDU, Linke, Greens, and AfD in the low-to-mid 20 percent range, alongside recent AfD gains elsewhere in Germany, has intensified mobilization efforts across the political spectrum. State election commission preparations, including more polling stations, further support expectations of elevated participation on 20 September. While adverse weather or unforeseen last-minute developments could moderate the increase, the structural expansion of the voter base and sustained campaign intensity underpin the strong trader consensus that turnout will exceed the prior 62.9 percent benchmark.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUp
96% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
Up
96% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).Expanded eligibility to roughly 2.5 million voters, including first-time participation by 16- and 17-year-olds plus higher naturalization numbers, has enlarged the electorate beyond the 2.43 million recorded for the 2023 repeat election. A tight multi-party contest featuring CDU, Linke, Greens, and AfD in the low-to-mid 20 percent range, alongside recent AfD gains elsewhere in Germany, has intensified mobilization efforts across the political spectrum. State election commission preparations, including more polling stations, further support expectations of elevated participation on 20 September. While adverse weather or unforeseen last-minute developments could moderate the increase, the structural expansion of the voter base and sustained campaign intensity underpin the strong trader consensus that turnout will exceed the prior 62.9 percent benchmark.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET
Volume
$2,372End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).Expanded eligibility to roughly 2.5 million voters, including first-time participation by 16- and 17-year-olds plus higher naturalization numbers, has enlarged the electorate beyond the 2.43 million recorded for the 2023 repeat election. A tight multi-party contest featuring CDU, Linke, Greens, and AfD in the low-to-mid 20 percent range, alongside recent AfD gains elsewhere in Germany, has intensified mobilization efforts across the political spectrum. State election commission preparations, including more polling stations, further support expectations of elevated participation on 20 September. While adverse weather or unforeseen last-minute developments could moderate the increase, the structural expansion of the voter base and sustained campaign intensity underpin the strong trader consensus that turnout will exceed the prior 62.9 percent benchmark.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
Volume
$2,372End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Expanded eligibility to roughly 2.5 million voters, including first-time participation by 16- and 17-year-olds plus higher naturalization numbers, has enlarged the electorate beyond the 2.43 million recorded for the 2023 repeat election. A tight multi-party contest featuring CDU, Linke, Greens, and AfD in the low-to-mid 20 percent range, alongside recent AfD gains elsewhere in Germany, has intensified mobilization efforts across the political spectrum. State election commission preparations, including more polling stations, further support expectations of elevated participation on 20 September. While adverse weather or unforeseen last-minute developments could moderate the increase, the structural expansion of the voter base and sustained campaign intensity underpin the strong trader consensus that turnout will exceed the prior 62.9 percent benchmark.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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