Recent model runs and surface observations indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers overnight in Panama City, limiting radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 25–26 °C. High humidity near 80–90 % and light variable winds further suppress temperature drops by reducing the efficiency of nocturnal heat loss. These conditions align with the ongoing rainy-season pattern, where climatological September lows average 24–25 °C but frequently remain elevated under overcast skies. Traders are monitoring updated NHC and IMHPA guidance for any late-evening clearing that could allow a brief dip toward 24 °C, while the narrow spread between the top two outcomes reflects uncertainty in exactly how much additional cloud cover or rainfall will develop before dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 10?
25°C 44%
26°C 36%
22°C 33%
24°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
33%
23°C
17%
24°C
27%
25°C
39%
26°C
40%
27°C
21%
28°C
17%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 44%
26°C 36%
22°C 33%
24°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
4%
22°C
$20 Vol.
33%
23°C
$0 Vol.
17%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$57 Vol.
39%
26°C
$106 Vol.
40%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
17%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and surface observations indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers overnight in Panama City, limiting radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 25–26 °C. High humidity near 80–90 % and light variable winds further suppress temperature drops by reducing the efficiency of nocturnal heat loss. These conditions align with the ongoing rainy-season pattern, where climatological September lows average 24–25 °C but frequently remain elevated under overcast skies. Traders are monitoring updated NHC and IMHPA guidance for any late-evening clearing that could allow a brief dip toward 24 °C, while the narrow spread between the top two outcomes reflects uncertainty in exactly how much additional cloud cover or rainfall will develop before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$203End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and surface observations indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers overnight in Panama City, limiting radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 25–26 °C. High humidity near 80–90 % and light variable winds further suppress temperature drops by reducing the efficiency of nocturnal heat loss. These conditions align with the ongoing rainy-season pattern, where climatological September lows average 24–25 °C but frequently remain elevated under overcast skies. Traders are monitoring updated NHC and IMHPA guidance for any late-evening clearing that could allow a brief dip toward 24 °C, while the narrow spread between the top two outcomes reflects uncertainty in exactly how much additional cloud cover or rainfall will develop before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$203End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs and surface observations indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered showers overnight in Panama City, limiting radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 25–26 °C. High humidity near 80–90 % and light variable winds further suppress temperature drops by reducing the efficiency of nocturnal heat loss. These conditions align with the ongoing rainy-season pattern, where climatological September lows average 24–25 °C but frequently remain elevated under overcast skies. Traders are monitoring updated NHC and IMHPA guidance for any late-evening clearing that could allow a brief dip toward 24 °C, while the narrow spread between the top two outcomes reflects uncertainty in exactly how much additional cloud cover or rainfall will develop before dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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