**Latest forecasts from multiple models show Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 11 settling near 24°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds.** This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where average lows hover around 24–25°C, and current conditions lack strong cold-air advection or significant cloud cover that would alter radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between the 29°C+ and 19°C-or-below brackets because small variations in dew-point depression and wind speed can shift the low by 1–2°C across ensemble members. Official verification from surface observations the following morning will resolve the market, with any late-model adjustments from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration likely to drive the final positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 11?
29°C or higher 86%
19°C or below 82%
20°C 38%
26°C 38%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
19°C or below
82%
20°C
38%
21°C
21%
22°C
21%
23°C
22%
24°C
31%
25°C
22%
26°C
38%
27°C
18%
28°C
17%
29°C or higher
86%
29°C or higher 86%
19°C or below 82%
20°C 38%
26°C 38%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Vol.
82%
20°C
$0 Vol.
38%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22°C
$0 Vol.
21%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
31%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
38%
27°C
$0 Vol.
18%
28°C
$0 Vol.
17%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecasts from multiple models show Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 11 settling near 24°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds.** This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where average lows hover around 24–25°C, and current conditions lack strong cold-air advection or significant cloud cover that would alter radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between the 29°C+ and 19°C-or-below brackets because small variations in dew-point depression and wind speed can shift the low by 1–2°C across ensemble members. Official verification from surface observations the following morning will resolve the market, with any late-model adjustments from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration likely to drive the final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecasts from multiple models show Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 11 settling near 24°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds.** This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where average lows hover around 24–25°C, and current conditions lack strong cold-air advection or significant cloud cover that would alter radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between the 29°C+ and 19°C-or-below brackets because small variations in dew-point depression and wind speed can shift the low by 1–2°C across ensemble members. Official verification from surface observations the following morning will resolve the market, with any late-model adjustments from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration likely to drive the final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecasts from multiple models show Guangzhou's overnight minimum on September 11 settling near 24°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds.** This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September, where average lows hover around 24–25°C, and current conditions lack strong cold-air advection or significant cloud cover that would alter radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between the 29°C+ and 19°C-or-below brackets because small variations in dew-point depression and wind speed can shift the low by 1–2°C across ensemble members. Official verification from surface observations the following morning will resolve the market, with any late-model adjustments from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration likely to drive the final positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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