Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate overnight lows in Dallas on September 11 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent southerly winds, high humidity, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Recent days have featured record or near-record daytime heat with lows holding in the upper 70s, well above the early-September climatological normal near 72°F, as no significant cold front or dry air intrusion has arrived. Scattered thunderstorm chances introduce minor variability but are not expected to produce substantial cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 80–81°F and 78–79°F bins aligns with this guidance, while lower-probability outcomes below 71°F would require an unexpected shift in steering patterns. Updated model runs and evening observations will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Dallas on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Dallas on September 11?
71°F or below 41%
90°F or higher 40%
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
71°F or below
41%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
15%
90°F or higher
40%
71°F or below 41%
90°F or higher 40%
80-81°F 39%
78-79°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Vol.
41%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
16%
74-75°F
$24 Vol.
16%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
18%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
39%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
25%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
16%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
16%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
15%
90°F or higher
$0 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate overnight lows in Dallas on September 11 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent southerly winds, high humidity, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Recent days have featured record or near-record daytime heat with lows holding in the upper 70s, well above the early-September climatological normal near 72°F, as no significant cold front or dry air intrusion has arrived. Scattered thunderstorm chances introduce minor variability but are not expected to produce substantial cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 80–81°F and 78–79°F bins aligns with this guidance, while lower-probability outcomes below 71°F would require an unexpected shift in steering patterns. Updated model runs and evening observations will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$24End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate overnight lows in Dallas on September 11 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent southerly winds, high humidity, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Recent days have featured record or near-record daytime heat with lows holding in the upper 70s, well above the early-September climatological normal near 72°F, as no significant cold front or dry air intrusion has arrived. Scattered thunderstorm chances introduce minor variability but are not expected to produce substantial cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 80–81°F and 78–79°F bins aligns with this guidance, while lower-probability outcomes below 71°F would require an unexpected shift in steering patterns. Updated model runs and evening observations will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate overnight lows in Dallas on September 11 will likely settle in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent southerly winds, high humidity, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Recent days have featured record or near-record daytime heat with lows holding in the upper 70s, well above the early-September climatological normal near 72°F, as no significant cold front or dry air intrusion has arrived. Scattered thunderstorm chances introduce minor variability but are not expected to produce substantial cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 80–81°F and 78–79°F bins aligns with this guidance, while lower-probability outcomes below 71°F would require an unexpected shift in steering patterns. Updated model runs and evening observations will provide the next key data points ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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