Traders have converged on 27°C as the implied outcome for Qingdao’s highest temperature on September 10 due to consistent forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration showing a daytime peak near that level under partly cloudy skies, northerly winds of 3–4 m/s, and low humidity around 40–60%. Observational data through the afternoon aligned with these projections, with surface readings climbing to the mid-20s Celsius before stabilizing, consistent with September climatology for the coastal Shandong station where September daily maxima average near 26°C. The near-100% market pricing reflects high confidence in the forecast consensus, though modest uncertainty remains around station-specific measurement timing or localized sea-breeze effects that could nudge the official high slightly higher or lower before midnight close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 10?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 10?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$28,901 Vol.
$28,901 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$28,901 Vol.
$28,901 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
23°C or below
$265 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,315 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,935 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,672 Vol.
No
27°C
$12,232 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$5,138 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,383 Vol.
No
30°C
$507 Vol.
No
31°C
$974 Vol.
No
32°C
$292 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$188 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 27°C as the implied outcome for Qingdao’s highest temperature on September 10 due to consistent forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration showing a daytime peak near that level under partly cloudy skies, northerly winds of 3–4 m/s, and low humidity around 40–60%. Observational data through the afternoon aligned with these projections, with surface readings climbing to the mid-20s Celsius before stabilizing, consistent with September climatology for the coastal Shandong station where September daily maxima average near 26°C. The near-100% market pricing reflects high confidence in the forecast consensus, though modest uncertainty remains around station-specific measurement timing or localized sea-breeze effects that could nudge the official high slightly higher or lower before midnight close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$28,901End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 27°C as the implied outcome for Qingdao’s highest temperature on September 10 due to consistent forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration showing a daytime peak near that level under partly cloudy skies, northerly winds of 3–4 m/s, and low humidity around 40–60%. Observational data through the afternoon aligned with these projections, with surface readings climbing to the mid-20s Celsius before stabilizing, consistent with September climatology for the coastal Shandong station where September daily maxima average near 26°C. The near-100% market pricing reflects high confidence in the forecast consensus, though modest uncertainty remains around station-specific measurement timing or localized sea-breeze effects that could nudge the official high slightly higher or lower before midnight close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,901End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have converged on 27°C as the implied outcome for Qingdao’s highest temperature on September 10 due to consistent forecasts from regional models and the China Meteorological Administration showing a daytime peak near that level under partly cloudy skies, northerly winds of 3–4 m/s, and low humidity around 40–60%. Observational data through the afternoon aligned with these projections, with surface readings climbing to the mid-20s Celsius before stabilizing, consistent with September climatology for the coastal Shandong station where September daily maxima average near 26°C. The near-100% market pricing reflects high confidence in the forecast consensus, though modest uncertainty remains around station-specific measurement timing or localized sea-breeze effects that could nudge the official high slightly higher or lower before midnight close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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