Current forecast consensus from sources including the India Meteorological Department and Met Office indicates a peak temperature near 32°C on September 19 in Lucknow, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and residual monsoon moisture that limits strong daytime heating. Recent observations show September 18 maxima of 32–34°C amid high humidity (70–80%) and isolated thundery activity, consistent with the seasonal transition as monsoon withdrawal begins. Model runs project similar conditions tomorrow with modest instability and no major heat buildup, aligning trader-implied odds around 31–33°C while assigning lower probability to 34°C or higher absent clearer skies or reduced cloud cover. Updated guidance on afternoon convection will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 19?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 19?
32°C 37%
31°C 27%
33°C 20%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
14%
31°C
27%
32°C
37%
33°C
20%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 37%
31°C 27%
33°C 20%
30°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
$261 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8 Vol.
1%
29°C
$41 Vol.
2%
30°C
$743 Vol.
14%
31°C
$393 Vol.
27%
32°C
$383 Vol.
37%
33°C
$634 Vol.
20%
34°C
$179 Vol.
7%
35°C
$160 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$123 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from sources including the India Meteorological Department and Met Office indicates a peak temperature near 32°C on September 19 in Lucknow, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and residual monsoon moisture that limits strong daytime heating. Recent observations show September 18 maxima of 32–34°C amid high humidity (70–80%) and isolated thundery activity, consistent with the seasonal transition as monsoon withdrawal begins. Model runs project similar conditions tomorrow with modest instability and no major heat buildup, aligning trader-implied odds around 31–33°C while assigning lower probability to 34°C or higher absent clearer skies or reduced cloud cover. Updated guidance on afternoon convection will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,926End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from sources including the India Meteorological Department and Met Office indicates a peak temperature near 32°C on September 19 in Lucknow, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and residual monsoon moisture that limits strong daytime heating. Recent observations show September 18 maxima of 32–34°C amid high humidity (70–80%) and isolated thundery activity, consistent with the seasonal transition as monsoon withdrawal begins. Model runs project similar conditions tomorrow with modest instability and no major heat buildup, aligning trader-implied odds around 31–33°C while assigning lower probability to 34°C or higher absent clearer skies or reduced cloud cover. Updated guidance on afternoon convection will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,926End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from sources including the India Meteorological Department and Met Office indicates a peak temperature near 32°C on September 19 in Lucknow, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and residual monsoon moisture that limits strong daytime heating. Recent observations show September 18 maxima of 32–34°C amid high humidity (70–80%) and isolated thundery activity, consistent with the seasonal transition as monsoon withdrawal begins. Model runs project similar conditions tomorrow with modest instability and no major heat buildup, aligning trader-implied odds around 31–33°C while assigning lower probability to 34°C or higher absent clearer skies or reduced cloud cover. Updated guidance on afternoon convection will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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