**Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C in Lucknow today, driven by post-monsoon conditions featuring partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 80%, and light westerly winds that limit intense solar heating.** Afternoon drizzle or scattered thunderstorms, with probabilities up to 40-50% in some updates, further cap temperature rises by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with September climatology of 33-34°C averages while reflecting slightly suppressed values from lingering moisture. Hourly observations show steady climbs toward afternoon peaks around 32-34°C before evening decline, with low risk of extremes given the steering patterns and absence of strong high-pressure subsidence. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates most heavily as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 18?
32°C 62%
31°C 25%
33°C 6%
30°C 6.0%
$19,140 Vol.
$19,140 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
25%
32°C
62%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 62%
31°C 25%
33°C 6%
30°C 6.0%
$19,140 Vol.
$19,140 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
27°C or below
$219 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$355 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,032 Vol.
6%
31°C
$911 Vol.
25%
32°C
$3,386 Vol.
62%
33°C
$7,770 Vol.
6%
34°C
$3,377 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$374 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$356 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C in Lucknow today, driven by post-monsoon conditions featuring partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 80%, and light westerly winds that limit intense solar heating.** Afternoon drizzle or scattered thunderstorms, with probabilities up to 40-50% in some updates, further cap temperature rises by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with September climatology of 33-34°C averages while reflecting slightly suppressed values from lingering moisture. Hourly observations show steady climbs toward afternoon peaks around 32-34°C before evening decline, with low risk of extremes given the steering patterns and absence of strong high-pressure subsidence. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates most heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$19,140End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C in Lucknow today, driven by post-monsoon conditions featuring partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 80%, and light westerly winds that limit intense solar heating.** Afternoon drizzle or scattered thunderstorms, with probabilities up to 40-50% in some updates, further cap temperature rises by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with September climatology of 33-34°C averages while reflecting slightly suppressed values from lingering moisture. Hourly observations show steady climbs toward afternoon peaks around 32-34°C before evening decline, with low risk of extremes given the steering patterns and absence of strong high-pressure subsidence. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates most heavily as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,140End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and international models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C in Lucknow today, driven by post-monsoon conditions featuring partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 80%, and light westerly winds that limit intense solar heating.** Afternoon drizzle or scattered thunderstorms, with probabilities up to 40-50% in some updates, further cap temperature rises by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with September climatology of 33-34°C averages while reflecting slightly suppressed values from lingering moisture. Hourly observations show steady climbs toward afternoon peaks around 32-34°C before evening decline, with low risk of extremes given the steering patterns and absence of strong high-pressure subsidence. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates most heavily as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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