Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department guidance, point to a maximum temperature near 32°C in Lucknow on September 11 as the most probable outcome, driven by widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered thunderstorms associated with the active monsoon trough. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, aligning with observed highs of 31-33°C in the preceding days. Forecast consensus across sources places the daily peak between 29-33°C, with lower odds for 34°C or higher reflecting limited clearing potential and the moderating effect of easterly moisture flow. Updated model runs and official observations on the day will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 11?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 11?
32°C 45%
33°C 26%
31°C 20%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
20%
32°C
45%
33°C
26%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 45%
33°C 26%
31°C 20%
34°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
$176 Vol.
1%
27°C
$158 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$20 Vol.
2%
30°C
$65 Vol.
5%
31°C
$213 Vol.
20%
32°C
$267 Vol.
45%
33°C
$48 Vol.
26%
34°C
$15 Vol.
5%
35°C
$94 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$140 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department guidance, point to a maximum temperature near 32°C in Lucknow on September 11 as the most probable outcome, driven by widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered thunderstorms associated with the active monsoon trough. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, aligning with observed highs of 31-33°C in the preceding days. Forecast consensus across sources places the daily peak between 29-33°C, with lower odds for 34°C or higher reflecting limited clearing potential and the moderating effect of easterly moisture flow. Updated model runs and official observations on the day will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,196End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department guidance, point to a maximum temperature near 32°C in Lucknow on September 11 as the most probable outcome, driven by widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered thunderstorms associated with the active monsoon trough. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, aligning with observed highs of 31-33°C in the preceding days. Forecast consensus across sources places the daily peak between 29-33°C, with lower odds for 34°C or higher reflecting limited clearing potential and the moderating effect of easterly moisture flow. Updated model runs and official observations on the day will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,196End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with India Meteorological Department guidance, point to a maximum temperature near 32°C in Lucknow on September 11 as the most probable outcome, driven by widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered thunderstorms associated with the active monsoon trough. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, aligning with observed highs of 31-33°C in the preceding days. Forecast consensus across sources places the daily peak between 29-33°C, with lower odds for 34°C or higher reflecting limited clearing potential and the moderating effect of easterly moisture flow. Updated model runs and official observations on the day will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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