**Josh Green’s commanding position in the Hawaii governor race reflects the state’s entrenched Democratic advantage and the incumbent’s unchallenged primary performance.** Green secured the Democratic nomination in August 2026 with roughly 89 percent of the vote against minor challengers, while Republican nominee Gary Cordery advanced with about 76 percent in a low-turnout primary. Hawaii has not elected a Republican governor since 2006, and recent forecasts from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Green’s fundraising lead and moderate approval rating further reinforce trader expectations of continuity. A late scandal, significant health development, or dramatic national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November 3, though such events remain outside current evidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHawaii Governor Election Winner
Hawaii Governor Election Winner
$15,684 Vol.
$15,684 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Josh Green (D)
97%
Gary Cordery (R)
1%
$15,684 Vol.
$15,684 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Josh Green (D)
$7,022 Vol.
97%
Gary Cordery (R)
$8,661 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Josh Green’s commanding position in the Hawaii governor race reflects the state’s entrenched Democratic advantage and the incumbent’s unchallenged primary performance.** Green secured the Democratic nomination in August 2026 with roughly 89 percent of the vote against minor challengers, while Republican nominee Gary Cordery advanced with about 76 percent in a low-turnout primary. Hawaii has not elected a Republican governor since 2006, and recent forecasts from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Green’s fundraising lead and moderate approval rating further reinforce trader expectations of continuity. A late scandal, significant health development, or dramatic national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November 3, though such events remain outside current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$15,684End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Josh Green’s commanding position in the Hawaii governor race reflects the state’s entrenched Democratic advantage and the incumbent’s unchallenged primary performance.** Green secured the Democratic nomination in August 2026 with roughly 89 percent of the vote against minor challengers, while Republican nominee Gary Cordery advanced with about 76 percent in a low-turnout primary. Hawaii has not elected a Republican governor since 2006, and recent forecasts from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Green’s fundraising lead and moderate approval rating further reinforce trader expectations of continuity. A late scandal, significant health development, or dramatic national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November 3, though such events remain outside current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$15,684End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Josh Green’s commanding position in the Hawaii governor race reflects the state’s entrenched Democratic advantage and the incumbent’s unchallenged primary performance.** Green secured the Democratic nomination in August 2026 with roughly 89 percent of the vote against minor challengers, while Republican nominee Gary Cordery advanced with about 76 percent in a low-turnout primary. Hawaii has not elected a Republican governor since 2006, and recent forecasts from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Green’s fundraising lead and moderate approval rating further reinforce trader expectations of continuity. A late scandal, significant health development, or dramatic national political shift could theoretically alter the trajectory before November 3, though such events remain outside current evidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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