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Tech·AI

GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?

icon for GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?
Tech·AI

GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?

Sep 30

Oct 31

Dec 31

Sep 30

Oct 31

Dec 31

$5.00-$5.50 26%

$5.50-$6.00 24%

$4.50-$5.00 21.8%

$6.00+ 13.5%

Polymarket

$40,092 Vol.

$5.00-$5.50 26%

$5.50-$6.00 24%

$4.50-$5.00 21.8%

$6.00+ 13.5%

Polymarket

$40,092 Vol.

<$4.00

$12,036 Vol.

5%

$4.00-$4.50

$4,875 Vol.

11%

$4.50-$5.00

$10,368 Vol.

22%

$5.00-$5.50

$5,404 Vol.

26%

$5.50-$6.00

$3,255 Vol.

24%

$6.00+

$4,153 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Persistent demand for H200 GPUs' 141 GB HBM3e memory and 4.8 TB/s bandwidth in large language model inference and training keeps median on-demand rental rates clustered near $4.37–$5.13 per GPU-hour across providers like RunPod, Vast.ai, and Koyeb. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched $4.50–$6.00 brackets stems from competitive dynamics: abundant spot and marketplace capacity at lower tiers competes with guaranteed hyperscaler listings, while gradual B200/Blackwell ramp-up introduces substitution pressure without yet flooding supply. Short-term swings in the Ornn index, regional availability, and any final-week demand spikes from model releases will determine resolution within the narrow 45–55% probability band.

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$40,092
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Persistent demand for H200 GPUs' 141 GB HBM3e memory and 4.8 TB/s bandwidth in large language model inference and training keeps median on-demand rental rates clustered near $4.37–$5.13 per GPU-hour across providers like RunPod, Vast.ai, and Koyeb. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched $4.50–$6.00 brackets stems from competitive dynamics: abundant spot and marketplace capacity at lower tiers competes with guaranteed hyperscaler listings, while gradual B200/Blackwell ramp-up introduces substitution pressure without yet flooding supply. Short-term swings in the Ornn index, regional availability, and any final-week demand spikes from model releases will determine resolution within the narrow 45–55% probability band.

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$40,092
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$5.00-$5.50" at 26%, followed by "$5.50-$6.00" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?" has generated $40.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?" is "$5.00-$5.50" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$5.50-$6.00" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.