Recent upward momentum in H200 rental rates, with neocloud indices settling near $4.40–$4.91 per GPU-hour and showing +5% gains over 30 days, reflects sustained AI training and inference demand outpacing available Hopper supply. Persistent HBM3e and CoWoS packaging constraints, combined with Nvidia redirecting capacity toward Blackwell, limit near-term additions while memory-bound workloads favor the H200’s 141 GB capacity over H100 alternatives. Competitive dynamics between hyperscaler committed rates (often $10+), neocloud spot/interruptible tiers (~$2.45), and marketplace liquidity create pricing dispersion, keeping trader consensus split across the $4.50–$5.50 bands through October. Blackwell ramp timelines and any incremental China-licensed shipments remain key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.50-$5.00 29%
$5.00-$5.50 26%
$5.50+ 20.4%
$4.00-$4.50 16%
$15,594 Vol.
$15,594 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
<$3.50
7%
$3.50-$4.00
6%
$4.00-$4.50
16%
$4.50-$5.00
29%
$5.00-$5.50
26%
$5.50+
20%
$4.50-$5.00 29%
$5.00-$5.50 26%
$5.50+ 20.4%
$4.00-$4.50 16%
$15,594 Vol.
$15,594 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
<$3.50
$824 Vol.
7%
$3.50-$4.00
$778 Vol.
6%
$4.00-$4.50
$6,297 Vol.
16%
$4.50-$5.00
$5,806 Vol.
29%
$5.00-$5.50
$762 Vol.
26%
$5.50+
$1,127 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Recent upward momentum in H200 rental rates, with neocloud indices settling near $4.40–$4.91 per GPU-hour and showing +5% gains over 30 days, reflects sustained AI training and inference demand outpacing available Hopper supply. Persistent HBM3e and CoWoS packaging constraints, combined with Nvidia redirecting capacity toward Blackwell, limit near-term additions while memory-bound workloads favor the H200’s 141 GB capacity over H100 alternatives. Competitive dynamics between hyperscaler committed rates (often $10+), neocloud spot/interruptible tiers (~$2.45), and marketplace liquidity create pricing dispersion, keeping trader consensus split across the $4.50–$5.50 bands through October. Blackwell ramp timelines and any incremental China-licensed shipments remain key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Volume
$15,594End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Recent upward momentum in H200 rental rates, with neocloud indices settling near $4.40–$4.91 per GPU-hour and showing +5% gains over 30 days, reflects sustained AI training and inference demand outpacing available Hopper supply. Persistent HBM3e and CoWoS packaging constraints, combined with Nvidia redirecting capacity toward Blackwell, limit near-term additions while memory-bound workloads favor the H200’s 141 GB capacity over H100 alternatives. Competitive dynamics between hyperscaler committed rates (often $10+), neocloud spot/interruptible tiers (~$2.45), and marketplace liquidity create pricing dispersion, keeping trader consensus split across the $4.50–$5.50 bands through October. Blackwell ramp timelines and any incremental China-licensed shipments remain key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$15,594End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent upward momentum in H200 rental rates, with neocloud indices settling near $4.40–$4.91 per GPU-hour and showing +5% gains over 30 days, reflects sustained AI training and inference demand outpacing available Hopper supply. Persistent HBM3e and CoWoS packaging constraints, combined with Nvidia redirecting capacity toward Blackwell, limit near-term additions while memory-bound workloads favor the H200’s 141 GB capacity over H100 alternatives. Competitive dynamics between hyperscaler committed rates (often $10+), neocloud spot/interruptible tiers (~$2.45), and marketplace liquidity create pricing dispersion, keeping trader consensus split across the $4.50–$5.50 bands through October. Blackwell ramp timelines and any incremental China-licensed shipments remain key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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