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icon for John Fetterman out by...?

John Fetterman out by...?

icon for John Fetterman out by...?

John Fetterman out by...?

$83,656 Vol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$83,656 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$50,863 Vol.

<1%

December 31

$32,793 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senator John Fetterman’s Senate term runs through January 2029, with no formal resignation, party-switch announcement, or official filings recorded. Recent scrutiny stems from a September 2026 Wall Street Journal report detailing limited constituent outreach, hearing attendance, and staff turnover, prompting public calls from some Pennsylvania Democrats—including former Rep. Conor Lamb—for him to step aside. Fetterman has repeatedly stated he remains a Democrat who votes overwhelmingly with the party, explicitly rejecting a Republican switch except under narrow conditions tied to Israel policy, and has appeared in a video at a GOP midterm event. Polling shows sharply eroded support among Democratic voters ahead of a potential 2028 primary, while speculation centers on possible retirement rather than reelection. No scheduled votes or procedural deadlines directly compel an exit before the November 2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$83,656
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 10:34 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senator John Fetterman’s Senate term runs through January 2029, with no formal resignation, party-switch announcement, or official filings recorded. Recent scrutiny stems from a September 2026 Wall Street Journal report detailing limited constituent outreach, hearing attendance, and staff turnover, prompting public calls from some Pennsylvania Democrats—including former Rep. Conor Lamb—for him to step aside. Fetterman has repeatedly stated he remains a Democrat who votes overwhelmingly with the party, explicitly rejecting a Republican switch except under narrow conditions tied to Israel policy, and has appeared in a video at a GOP midterm event. Polling shows sharply eroded support among Democratic voters ahead of a potential 2028 primary, while speculation centers on possible retirement rather than reelection. No scheduled votes or procedural deadlines directly compel an exit before the November 2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$83,656
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 10:34 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"John Fetterman out by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 2%, followed by "September 30" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 2¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 2% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "John Fetterman out by...?" has generated $83.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 14, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "John Fetterman out by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "John Fetterman out by...?" is "December 31" at just 2%, with "September 30" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "John Fetterman out by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.