Escalated Houthi missile and drone strikes on Saudi targets, including multiple October 2026 attacks on Riyadh’s King Khalid International Airport that caused fatalities, injuries, and temporary airport suspensions, have driven localized flight cancellations and prompted EASA advisories restricting portions of the Jeddah FIR due to risks from projectiles, air-defense activity, and debris. Saudi civil aviation authorities have responded with targeted NOTAMs, southern airport closures, and daytime restrictions rather than a broad commercial suspension across OEJD airspace, consistent with prior patterns of maintaining overflight operations amid Yemen-linked threats. Trader consensus assigns low implied probabilities to a qualifying general closure by late-2026 deadlines, reflecting Saudi air navigation services’ emphasis on continuity; further successful strikes or expanded international warnings could alter assessments before year-end.