Ongoing martial law, extended by parliament through at least October 31, 2026, constitutionally bars presidential elections or a leadership transition in Ukraine. Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains the incumbent under Article 108 provisions allowing him to serve until a successor is sworn in, with no scheduled vote possible while the conflict with Russia persists. Recent domestic pressure, including opposition calls for wartime balloting after the July 2026 defense minister reshuffle and polls showing eroded support, has not produced a viable removal mechanism or ceasefire that could enable change before year-end. Traders view these structural barriers as decisive, assigning only a slim chance to abrupt resignation, legal challenge, or negotiated exit within the narrow remaining window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$3,172,133 Vol.
$3,172,133 Vol.
$3,172,133 Vol.
$3,172,133 Vol.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...Ongoing martial law, extended by parliament through at least October 31, 2026, constitutionally bars presidential elections or a leadership transition in Ukraine. Volodymyr Zelenskyy remains the incumbent under Article 108 provisions allowing him to serve until a successor is sworn in, with no scheduled vote possible while the conflict with Russia persists. Recent domestic pressure, including opposition calls for wartime balloting after the July 2026 defense minister reshuffle and polls showing eroded support, has not produced a viable removal mechanism or ceasefire that could enable change before year-end. Traders view these structural barriers as decisive, assigning only a slim chance to abrupt resignation, legal challenge, or negotiated exit within the narrow remaining window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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