Traders assign the highest probability to 1000+ tweets in October 2026 at 32.5% amid wide dispersion across brackets because Musk’s posting pace has shown extreme recent volatility. Weekly settlements in early September ranged from under 40 to over 220 posts, while August finished in the 880-919 band after sustained daily output near 28–30. This reflects sensitivity to news cycles, platform engagement, and competing demands from Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and post-DOGE public activity. October’s outcome hinges on whether major product launches, political developments, or platform milestones trigger extended high-volume periods or allow quieter stretches, leaving the field open until clearer patterns emerge closer to month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1000+ 33%
920-959 14%
960-999 12%
800-839 11%
$39,122 Vol.
$39,122 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
1%
660-679
1%
680-699
2%
700-719
2%
720-739
2%
740-759
3%
760-779
3%
780-799
8%
800-839
11%
840-879
9%
880-919
11%
920-959
14%
960-999
12%
1000+
33%
1000+ 33%
920-959 14%
960-999 12%
800-839 11%
$39,122 Vol.
$39,122 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
<20
$525 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$435 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$430 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$445 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$440 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$515 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$495 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$510 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$315 Vol.
<1%
180-199
$500 Vol.
<1%
200-219
$490 Vol.
<1%
220-239
$415 Vol.
<1%
240-259
$495 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$415 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$495 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$497 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$497 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$495 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$510 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$495 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$805 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$1,395 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$475 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$1,407 Vol.
1%
480-499
$1,970 Vol.
1%
500-519
$204 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$255 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$270 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$235 Vol.
<1%
580-599
$1,333 Vol.
1%
600-619
$244 Vol.
1%
620-639
$219 Vol.
1%
640-659
$224 Vol.
1%
660-679
$219 Vol.
1%
680-699
$219 Vol.
2%
700-719
$959 Vol.
2%
720-739
$992 Vol.
2%
740-759
$328 Vol.
3%
760-779
$756 Vol.
3%
780-799
$1,844 Vol.
8%
800-839
$4,044 Vol.
11%
840-879
$427 Vol.
9%
880-919
$2,172 Vol.
11%
920-959
$3,539 Vol.
14%
960-999
$2,057 Vol.
12%
1000+
$3,118 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign the highest probability to 1000+ tweets in October 2026 at 32.5% amid wide dispersion across brackets because Musk’s posting pace has shown extreme recent volatility. Weekly settlements in early September ranged from under 40 to over 220 posts, while August finished in the 880-919 band after sustained daily output near 28–30. This reflects sensitivity to news cycles, platform engagement, and competing demands from Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and post-DOGE public activity. October’s outcome hinges on whether major product launches, political developments, or platform milestones trigger extended high-volume periods or allow quieter stretches, leaving the field open until clearer patterns emerge closer to month-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$39,122End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders assign the highest probability to 1000+ tweets in October 2026 at 32.5% amid wide dispersion across brackets because Musk’s posting pace has shown extreme recent volatility. Weekly settlements in early September ranged from under 40 to over 220 posts, while August finished in the 880-919 band after sustained daily output near 28–30. This reflects sensitivity to news cycles, platform engagement, and competing demands from Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and post-DOGE public activity. October’s outcome hinges on whether major product launches, political developments, or platform milestones trigger extended high-volume periods or allow quieter stretches, leaving the field open until clearer patterns emerge closer to month-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$39,122End Date
Nov 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to 1000+ tweets in October 2026 at 32.5% amid wide dispersion across brackets because Musk’s posting pace has shown extreme recent volatility. Weekly settlements in early September ranged from under 40 to over 220 posts, while August finished in the 880-919 band after sustained daily output near 28–30. This reflects sensitivity to news cycles, platform engagement, and competing demands from Tesla, SpaceX, xAI, and post-DOGE public activity. October’s outcome hinges on whether major product launches, political developments, or platform milestones trigger extended high-volume periods or allow quieter stretches, leaving the field open until clearer patterns emerge closer to month-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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