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icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Jack Lowden 37.9%

No Bond chosen 19.6%

Jack Barton 11.5%

Callum Turner 8.7%

Polymarket

$772,369 Vol.

Jack Lowden 37.9%

No Bond chosen 19.6%

Jack Barton 11.5%

Callum Turner 8.7%

Polymarket

$772,369 Vol.

icon for Jack Lowden

Jack Lowden

$144,158 Vol.

38%

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$358,150 Vol.

20%

icon for Jack Barton

Jack Barton

$35,743 Vol.

12%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$57,432 Vol.

9%

icon for Jack O'Connell

Jack O'Connell

$16,131 Vol.

4%

icon for Tom Francis

Tom Francis

$7,788 Vol.

3%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$11,088 Vol.

3%

icon for Richard Madden

Richard Madden

$7,315 Vol.

2%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$8,426 Vol.

1%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$10,212 Vol.

1%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$17,872 Vol.

1%

icon for Timothee Chalamet

Timothee Chalamet

$6,338 Vol.

1%

icon for Jonathan Bailey

Jonathan Bailey

$5,818 Vol.

1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$25,117 Vol.

1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$6,546 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$11,502 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$8,775 Vol.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$5,601 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Blyth

Tom Blyth

$2,733 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$5,725 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$6,467 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael B Jordan

Michael B Jordan

$3,395 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$5,897 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicholas Galitzine

Nicholas Galitzine

$4,140 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent comments from *Slow Horses* co-star Gary Oldman and screenwriter Steven Knight have driven trader consensus toward Jack Lowden, elevating his implied probability to 37.9% as the frontrunner. Oldman stated in early September that producers have selected the next Bond but have not yet announced the choice, while expressing support for Lowden on the shortlist; Knight similarly hinted that knowing the actor has simplified scripting the Denis Villeneuve-directed film. Lowden’s established screen presence as an MI5 agent in the Apple TV+ spy series aligns with the franchise’s shift under Amazon MGM and new producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman. The 19.6% probability on “No Bond chosen” reflects the lack of an official confirmation, with the shortlist—including Callum Turner, Jack Barton, and others—still shaping betting activity ahead of an expected year-end announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$772,369
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent comments from *Slow Horses* co-star Gary Oldman and screenwriter Steven Knight have driven trader consensus toward Jack Lowden, elevating his implied probability to 37.9% as the frontrunner. Oldman stated in early September that producers have selected the next Bond but have not yet announced the choice, while expressing support for Lowden on the shortlist; Knight similarly hinted that knowing the actor has simplified scripting the Denis Villeneuve-directed film. Lowden’s established screen presence as an MI5 agent in the Apple TV+ spy series aligns with the franchise’s shift under Amazon MGM and new producers Amy Pascal and David Heyman. The 19.6% probability on “No Bond chosen” reflects the lack of an official confirmation, with the shortlist—including Callum Turner, Jack Barton, and others—still shaping betting activity ahead of an expected year-end announcement.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$772,369
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jack Lowden" at 38%, followed by "No Bond chosen" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $772.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "Jack Lowden" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "No Bond chosen" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.