Trader consensus centers on 80-90M first-week views for MrBeast’s next video, reflecting the creator’s established pattern with long-form challenge content that routinely draws 70-100M views in that window. Recent releases, including the September 5 “I Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth” video tracking near 70M after four days and earlier August titles hitting 94M and 108M, reinforce this range amid a 516M-subscriber base that fuels rapid early accumulation. Front-loaded growth from Saturday drops and high-production stunts supports the 76% implied probability on 80-90M while keeping 70-80M as the main alternative; sub-70M outcomes remain thinly traded given consistent historical benchmarks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
80-90M 73%
70-80M 25.7%
90M+ <1%
<40M <1%
$182,108 Vol.
$182,108 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
26%
80-90M
73%
90M+
1%
80-90M 73%
70-80M 25.7%
90M+ <1%
<40M <1%
$182,108 Vol.
$182,108 Vol.
<40M
<1%
40-50M
<1%
50-60M
<1%
60-70M
<1%
70-80M
26%
80-90M
73%
90M+
1%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 80-90M first-week views for MrBeast’s next video, reflecting the creator’s established pattern with long-form challenge content that routinely draws 70-100M views in that window. Recent releases, including the September 5 “I Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth” video tracking near 70M after four days and earlier August titles hitting 94M and 108M, reinforce this range amid a 516M-subscriber base that fuels rapid early accumulation. Front-loaded growth from Saturday drops and high-production stunts supports the 76% implied probability on 80-90M while keeping 70-80M as the main alternative; sub-70M outcomes remain thinly traded given consistent historical benchmarks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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