Cilia Flores remains in pretrial detention at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center following her January 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face Southern District of New York charges including cocaine importation conspiracy and weapons offenses, with not-guilty pleas entered and a trial scheduled for mid-2027. On September 9, 2026, her defense moved for bail or house arrest, citing documented cardiac issues such as arrhythmias, chest pain, weight loss exceeding 11 kilograms, and a possible July cardiac episode, while proposing private armed security, monitoring, and restricted conditions at an undisclosed New York location. Prosecutors oppose release citing the charges' severity and flight risk. Trader sentiment reflects the pending judicial ruling on this motion, prior health-related filings, and standard federal pretrial standards in high-profile cases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
$1,377,919 Vol.
December 31
53%
$1,377,919 Vol.
December 31
53%
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores remains in pretrial detention at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center following her January 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face Southern District of New York charges including cocaine importation conspiracy and weapons offenses, with not-guilty pleas entered and a trial scheduled for mid-2027. On September 9, 2026, her defense moved for bail or house arrest, citing documented cardiac issues such as arrhythmias, chest pain, weight loss exceeding 11 kilograms, and a possible July cardiac episode, while proposing private armed security, monitoring, and restricted conditions at an undisclosed New York location. Prosecutors oppose release citing the charges' severity and flight risk. Trader sentiment reflects the pending judicial ruling on this motion, prior health-related filings, and standard federal pretrial standards in high-profile cases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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